@jockmahon have they? I missed that when I skimmed the report this morning.
OK - that's good (because they are making money) and bad (because they are not great at forecasting).
Anyway - I think most people just want the Switch to be a viable platform so that we can enjoy great games for years to come. With today's news, the Switch has had 2 successful holiday seasons with this year being better than last. This should remove any doubts around the system being a success.
@WOLF13 well, yes and no. No forecast is ever 100% accurate - and investors know this. Missing a forecast by low-balling is also a miss (Nintendo mispredicted Switch sales last year by a very wide margin and have needed to revise their software units upwards with this update). Nintendo have stated that their full year revenue and profit guidelines have not been revised.
I think Nintendo have been very open with their targets and communicating to the investor community. I know thinks there's any serious question to answer when you revise down your unit sale projections when you are 75% through the year.
I would love this to be true. I worry that it seems too generous (I bought a bucket load of Wii U SNES games for way more than the Nintendo Online subscription).
It's not just about compression or asset quality. We know Crafted World is running on UE but Woolly World was on a bespoke engine - we have no idea how these different frameworks ship in terms of file size (targeting different hardware too).
I know 'analysts' need to write stuff but I think a Lite model is pie-in-the-sky. Nintendo may redesign the Switch if they can reduce costs but I simply cannot see any reason why they would be looking at introducing a lower price SKU when the current model is (a) selling better than last year; and (b) hasn't had a price drop.
This figure didn't sound right and seemed contradictory (80% of revenues through digital but FIFA sells 75% on physical). But then it appears to be an estimate including mobile games.
I didn't expect Spirit Board to be good - but it's just so much fun. I got the exclusive Mario Party ones yesterday (just in time!). Sitting at around 300 spirits - so much more to find.
@EriXz same here. All the kids have digital games for their Switch. On occasion, this means buying more than one copy but I've fished enough 3DS cards out of the drier to last a lifetime.
I always buy digital (went this way during the Wii U years). Having your entire library with you is so convinient, especially when using the Switch as a handheld.
I feel the benefits of physical are diminishing with the advent of DLC, large day 1 patches and "Internet connection required". It seems, more and more, that the physical release is not much more than a game license on a disc/card (I admit that this is less true for Nintendo first party games).
I think the Switch will easily hit 100m software units this year. They were at over 40m at the end of Q2 and Pokemon + Smash alone will probably add 25m.
@Equinox it was simply forgot due to its release date (I think it was a similar situation with Pokemon Sun/Moon a few years back). I wouldn't be surprised if they forget about Smash next year.
I really need to stop buying third party games on Day 1. I picked up Diablo III but haven't managed to play it yet. As a Nintendo guy, I'm really not used to games dropping by a 1/3 within a month.
@Thaswizz I picked up Xenoblade last year but have yet to play it. The Zelda DLC took my time and then I rolled onto other things. Hopefully a bit of free time over Christmas will give me the time to start it.
Seriously considering downloading tonight. I originally thought of waiting until Christmas but I am 38 and have my own source of income. The kids are likely to demand copies though and that may get expensive.
I won't be watching as it doesn't really work for us Europe-based fans.
I don't expect anything too exciting. I think they will drop some Smash news to keep the hype going. They may announce Metroid Prime Trilogy (as the leaks suggest) - it's a Western-centric release that can be dropped in Jan/Feb without huge build up.
The Switch is clearly a successful, viable platform for Nintendo which will sell better than all their previous home console efforts bar the Wii. Nintendo will be making profits for many years to come. Reality check indeed.
Comments 933
Re: 1TB Micro SD Cards Are About To Hit Stores, Perfect For Your Switch Storage Woes
I am out of space on u my 400GB card. I would buy a 1TB card in a heartbeat.
Re: Random: Nintendo Stock Rises By 4% An Hour Before Reggie Announces Retirement
It was probably Nintendo buying back stock to give Reggie a retirement present.
Re: Reggie Fils-Aime Is Retiring After 15 Notable Years At Nintendo of America
I have a lot of time for Reggie. I think he did a good job. Hope he has a long and happy retirement.
Re: Mr Bowser. His name always cracks me up.
Re: Super Mario Maker 2 Confirmed For Switch, Launches This June
It looks so gooooooood!
Re: Get Great Discounts On Top Multiplayer Switch Games With The 'Play Together Sale' In Europe
Captain Toad for me!
Re: No, Nintendo's German YouTube Channel Is Not Preparing For An Animal Crossing Switch Reveal
@sikthvash 99p per item seems low
Re: No, Nintendo's German YouTube Channel Is Not Preparing For An Animal Crossing Switch Reveal
It's happening!!!!
Re: Nintendo Readying One Unannounced Switch Title “Fans Would Be Delighted To Know" About
This will be Picross S3. Without a doubt.
Re: Nintendo Cuts Its 20 Million Switch Hardware Sales Target Despite Incredible Holiday Season Performance
@jockmahon have they? I missed that when I skimmed the report this morning.
OK - that's good (because they are making money) and bad (because they are not great at forecasting).
Anyway - I think most people just want the Switch to be a viable platform so that we can enjoy great games for years to come. With today's news, the Switch has had 2 successful holiday seasons with this year being better than last. This should remove any doubts around the system being a success.
Re: Nintendo Cuts Its 20 Million Switch Hardware Sales Target Despite Incredible Holiday Season Performance
@WOLF13 well, yes and no. No forecast is ever 100% accurate - and investors know this. Missing a forecast by low-balling is also a miss (Nintendo mispredicted Switch sales last year by a very wide margin and have needed to revise their software units upwards with this update). Nintendo have stated that their full year revenue and profit guidelines have not been revised.
I think Nintendo have been very open with their targets and communicating to the investor community. I know thinks there's any serious question to answer when you revise down your unit sale projections when you are 75% through the year.
Re: Nintendo Cuts Its 20 Million Switch Hardware Sales Target Despite Incredible Holiday Season Performance
Doomed!!
They upped their software expectations from 100m units to 110m units. At the beginning of the fiscal year people thought that 100m was too optimistic.
People just love Mario Kart... And Smash... And Pokemon... And Mario Party... And Odyssey...
Re: Smash Ultimate Exceeds 12 Million Worldwide Sales, Top Ten Best-Selling Switch Games Revealed
These are crazy numbers over the holiday period. 12m for Smash, 10m for Pokemon, 5m for Mario Party. Astonishingly, another 3.5m for Mario Kart 8.
Re: So Long Wii Shop Channel, And Thanks For All The Games
Sad day. Obviously the industry has yet to figure out how to handle digital transitions as old tech and architecture dies.
Re: Metroid Prime 4 Development Scrapped, Will Be Restarted Alongside Retro Studios
I'm completely fine with this. Much much better than delivering a crappy Metroid Prime 4.
Re: God Of War's Art Director Is Still Drawing Realistic Smash Bros. Characters, And They're Amazing
Woah a hairy Mewtwo. I always thought of him as hairless.
Re: Rumour: Dataminer Uncovers SNES Games For Nintendo Switch Online Service
I would love this to be true. I worry that it seems too generous (I bought a bucket load of Wii U SNES games for way more than the Nintendo Online subscription).
Re: Yoshi's Crafted World File Size Revealed, Almost 3GB Smaller Than Yoshi's Woolly World On Wii U
It's not just about compression or asset quality. We know Crafted World is running on UE but Woolly World was on a bespoke engine - we have no idea how these different frameworks ship in terms of file size (targeting different hardware too).
Re: Guide: Every Nintendo Switch Joy-Con Controller Available Right Now
The lack of colours available in the UK is a pain. I'd love to see double red, double blue and the inverted Splatoon colours available.
Re: Yoshi’s Crafted World Launches Exclusively For The Switch On 29th March
I absolutely loved Woolly World. I think this will be my next Day 1 purchase.
Re: Earn Double EXP And SP In This Upcoming Smash Bros. Ultimate Spirit Board Event
I paused Spirit Board when I realised I might be doubling up on spirits in World of Light. Anyway, I 100% WoL last night so I'm ready for new spirits.
Re: Gaming Analysts Predict 'Switch Pro' And 'Switch Lite' Revisions For 2019
I know 'analysts' need to write stuff but I think a Lite model is pie-in-the-sky. Nintendo may redesign the Switch if they can reduce costs but I simply cannot see any reason why they would be looking at introducing a lower price SKU when the current model is (a) selling better than last year; and (b) hasn't had a price drop.
Re: Rumour: The Next Super Smash Bros. Ultimate DLC Fighter Has Been Datamined
Why are people so sure that Brave corresponds to DQ? What's the point of a codename if people can figure it out?
Re: 80% Of UK Gaming Revenue Came From Digital Sales In 2018, Industry Made Almost £4bn In Total
This figure didn't sound right and seemed contradictory (80% of revenues through digital but FIFA sells 75% on physical). But then it appears to be an estimate including mobile games.
Re: Upcoming Spirit Event In Smash Bros. Ultimate Celebrates The NES And Famicom
I didn't expect Spirit Board to be good - but it's just so much fun. I got the exclusive Mario Party ones yesterday (just in time!). Sitting at around 300 spirits - so much more to find.
Re: Feature: Digital vs Physical - What Is Your Preference for Nintendo Switch?
@KingdomHeartsFan to be completely honest, those 3DS cards were rock solid. Despite a wash/dry cycle they always seemed to work.
Re: Feature: Digital vs Physical - What Is Your Preference for Nintendo Switch?
@EriXz same here. All the kids have digital games for their Switch. On occasion, this means buying more than one copy but I've fished enough 3DS cards out of the drier to last a lifetime.
Re: Feature: Digital vs Physical - What Is Your Preference for Nintendo Switch?
I always buy digital (went this way during the Wii U years). Having your entire library with you is so convinient, especially when using the Switch as a handheld.
I feel the benefits of physical are diminishing with the advent of DLC, large day 1 patches and "Internet connection required". It seems, more and more, that the physical release is not much more than a game license on a disc/card (I admit that this is less true for Nintendo first party games).
Re: Feature: Vote For Your 2018 Nintendo Game Of The Year
Let's see some of that Picross S2 love!!!
Re: Nintendo Still Expects To Hit 100 Million Switch Software Sales This Financial Year
I think the Switch will easily hit 100m software units this year. They were at over 40m at the end of Q2 and Pokemon + Smash alone will probably add 25m.
Re: Nintendo Still Expects To Hit 100 Million Switch Software Sales This Financial Year
@Mrtoad people tend to forget this. The Wii was very far from being a "Wii Sports then gathers dust" machine.
Re: Nintendo Goes Discount Crazy With More Than 600 Games Now On Sale In Europe
Octopath and Starlink for me.
Pretty, pretty good!
Re: Talking Point: What Are You Playing This Weekend? (December 8th)
Erm... SMASH!
With the kids
Re: Here Are The Game Awards 2018 Winners For Nintendo Switch
@Equinox it was simply forgot due to its release date (I think it was a similar situation with Pokemon Sun/Moon a few years back). I wouldn't be surprised if they forget about Smash next year.
Re: Reggie And Geoff Thank Fans For Watching This Year's Game Awards
Where's Mother 3?
Re: Nintendo Download: 6th December (Europe)
I really need to stop buying third party games on Day 1. I picked up Diablo III but haven't managed to play it yet. As a Nintendo guy, I'm really not used to games dropping by a 1/3 within a month.
Re: Review: Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - The Absolute Pinnacle Of Nintendo's Fighting Series
@Thaswizz I picked up Xenoblade last year but have yet to play it. The Zelda DLC took my time and then I rolled onto other things. Hopefully a bit of free time over Christmas will give me the time to start it.
Re: Nintendo Download: 6th December (North America)
Hang on. Smash is out tomorrow!?! Why wasn't I informed?
Re: Review: Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - The Absolute Pinnacle Of Nintendo's Fighting Series
So it WAS a port after all!!
Seriously considering downloading tonight. I originally thought of waiting until Christmas but I am 38 and have my own source of income. The kids are likely to demand copies though and that may get expensive.
Re: Review: Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - The Absolute Pinnacle Of Nintendo's Fighting Series
I am alone in not caring at all about online?
Online can change a lot over time. I'm not sure what will be gained by reviewing online over the opening weekend.
Re: Nintendo Tells Fans To Tune Into The Game Awards Tomorrow, Reveals Incoming?
I won't be watching as it doesn't really work for us Europe-based fans.
I don't expect anything too exciting. I think they will drop some Smash news to keep the hype going. They may announce Metroid Prime Trilogy (as the leaks suggest) - it's a Western-centric release that can be dropped in Jan/Feb without huge build up.
Re: Deals: Get Mario Kart 8 Deluxe Free When You Buy A Nintendo Switch From Select UK Stores
I have no doubt Mario Kart 8 Deluxe will be the best selling Switch game when Nintendo next reports.
Re: Talking Point: What Are You Playing This Weekend? (December 1st)
I'm playing the new DLC in Kirby. This game was a lot of fun.
Re: Analysts Believe Nintendo Will Fall Short Of Its Target To Ship 38 Million Switch By March 2019
The Switch is clearly a successful, viable platform for Nintendo which will sell better than all their previous home console efforts bar the Wii. Nintendo will be making profits for many years to come. Reality check indeed.
Re: Pokémon: Let's Go Absolutely Smashes It In The Japanese Charts, Switch Console Sales Skyrocket
Very big numbers. I wonder whether either Pokemon or Smash will beat Odyssey's 9 million units (from last year) in Q3.
Re: Talking Point: What Are You Playing This Weekend? (November 10th)
I've restarted DKC Tropical Freeze. I'm at 161% completion and will plough on through the weekend. Wonderful game that keeps on giving.
Re: YouTube Has Officially Arrived On Nintendo Switch
@Quarth oh yes. Where's my pizza roll?
Re: The Poké Ball Plus Has A Secret Feature That Makes Pokémon GO Easier To Play
The continued sales of Zelda, Splatoon and Mario Kart are truly impressive. I'm very curious to see where Pokemon lands.
Re: Get Discounts On Paper Mario, Zelda, Kirby And More With The Latest European My Nintendo Rewards
@Crono1973 nope
Re: Get Discounts On Paper Mario, Zelda, Kirby And More With The Latest European My Nintendo Rewards
Off topic, but I'd love a Box Boy compilation on Switch.
Re: New Data From Nintendo Shows The True Selling Power Of Switch's Evergreen Titles
I'm sure Smash will be similar.