Despite Nintendo's strong hardware sales as we enter this year's holiday period, there are a number of analysts who believe the Japanese company will fall short of its target to ship 38 million units by March 2019.
According to the average of eight analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg, the Switch is on track to ship 35 million units by March next year. It is not as devastating as it sounds, as it is only three million behind Nintendo's forecast.
The same article by Bloomberg goes on to share the analysts' insights. Despite a second year for Nintendo that apparently failed to live up to expectations, according to Cornelio Ash - an analyst at William O’Neil & Co. in Los Angeles - the majority of analysts tracked by Bloomberg still recommend buying stock.
Analysts called out Nintendo Labo as the biggest disappointment for the company this year, even though Nintendo's President Shuntaro Furukawa said it would take time to see if the product delivered.
Michael Pachter, an analyst at Wedbush Securities Inc., said this year was a "reality check" for the Kyoto-based company, further explaining how the system was still primarily considered as an expensive handheld device.
Price cuts were Pachter's solution, with reference made to how 3DS sales returned to form when prices on the system were slashed by 40 percent just five months after launch. It is worth noting, the 15 percent price cut on the Wii U was not enough to save it.
Another suggestion was to introduce different models, catering to multiple age groups. Credit Suisse Group AG thinks a revision of the hardware could go on sale as early as next year, with an announcement likely to occur any time before mid-2019. Unsurprisingly, strong game sales were also acknowledged as a way of regaining sales momentum in the new year.
Well if they keep making lousy and unfinished games like Mario Tennis Aces, Labo, ARMS, and 1 2 Switch they will never sell enough console. We need bigger titles and less gimmicky ones. Animal Crossing and Metroid are great starts if they come out next year.
Seems reasonable. No way they would hit that target with only two big releases for system, but Switch i still a beast when it comes to sells.
I think we all kind’ve said 20 Million is kinda lofty so this isn’t much of a surprise. Even Furukawa said 20 Million was going to be tough, so if we were to believe these analysts 18 million expectation, I’d still say it’s a job well done.
Coming into this article I was just going to post as a joke "Who said this? Michael 'console gaming is dead' Pachter?"... then i read the article...
He actually said this... OMFG HAHAHHAHA
According to this analysis, you'd be better off flipping a coin than paying attention to Pachter's advice: https://www.tipranks.com/analysts/michael-pachter
This just in: Analysts make predictions. They may or may not be right!
With only a few big hitters this year I think it's done damn well. People really seem to like this console. 2019 will undoubtedly be a stronger year for Switch.
Oh no... Is this the end?
Well, software drives hardware. If Nintendo can have a year as sedate as 2018 and still ship 17 million or so Switches, then 2019 is going to be a bloodbath if nothing is delayed.
I’ll have to do more research, but I think most of the info. in this article other than the number of units is fairly outdated. Especially the Michael Patcher quote where he predicted a number that is less than half of the current prediction (8 million without price cut vs. 17 million without price cut)
@waluigifan1 I'm confused what was lousy and unfinished about those games? They weren't games I personally was interested in but they all seemed to sell well
Nintendoomed, the Switch can’t even toast my bread, no wonder it’s failing.
Not really sure 'reality check' is the right term when they appear to be right in the ballpark. 35m vs 38m is really not a big discrepancy for this kind of thing, and probably a figure Nintendo would still be very happy with.
@waluigifan1 there's a reason all these games came out earlier in the year and not the upcoming holidays season which is seeing the release of smash bros.
Holidays have always been the big time of the year for nintendo and smash bros in pre orders alone seem to be proving promising, and seemingly seem to be doing a momentum of sales of consoles.
Also this will be the holidays to see bundles proper of classic games like Mario kart which can be very appealing as strong titles to be included for a first time purchase of the console.
After all of someone didn't have yet the mean to buy a switch yet they probably didn't own the likes of Mario Kart. So being able to get both at once rather than as separate and costlier purchases become that much more appealing than previous year of "buy the console and then spend more money to get A game at all"
Double more so as an holidays gift for the kind of kids such games are marketed to and such often are bought by parents who actually have the money rather than the kids.
Also really 3 millions off the intended goal isn't that huge when you think about the fact they themselves admitted the goal was inflated not as a certainty but a motivator.
Regarding 2019 though I think the switch will pick up lot of momentum. We've got yoshi, pokemon again and even the new fire Emblem game. Possibly even metroid prime 4.
And that's not counting both dragon quest xi and dragon quest builders 2 from square enix. Plus I wouldn't be surprised if 2019 would be the year Capcom announces a portable companion fifth generation Monster Hunter game on Switch(even if it actually releases in 2020) to return to their tradition of generations featuring both separate home console and handheld titles with separate stories yet nonetheless sharing monsters with each others(in fact it was often handheld games that first introduced many of the "new" monsters that would be added in the later "G/Ultimate" updated edition if the home console title).
Games take 2 to 3 years to develop so with the switch being such a massive success in 2017 that nobody expected there were a lot of people whose 2018- scheduled projects were actually taken by surprise by how much a console they dismissed proved to be popular. 2019 should be when a lot of these studos finishes shifting gear anne's release those titles.
But judging just by nintendo's titles, that is almost assured. Heck, I'm already playing a surprising port of Warframe and I didn't even expect that in 2019 yet it's already here, in 2018 and perfectly timed to keep me occupied for Smash bros next week.
Reasonable but always keep in mind that analysts forecasts always fall a bit short of the actual statistics, they keep in mind margin of errors and keep their predictions a bit low.
Quick example, with the recent adobe analytics they do every year, they predicted consumers to spend 57.2 billion dollars and in reality it clocked 58.52 billion. So we could see even a closer gap between Nintendo's prediction and what actually ends up happening.
Bring back the Vita! (;
Even at 35 million Switch would be probably getting close to Xbox 1 numbers which had a 3 year head start.
And 35 million in 2 years puts it ahead of the LIFETIME total sales for 3 out of the last 4 Nintendo home consoles - 13.5m Wii U, 22m Gamecube, 33m N64, w/ only the Wii doing better at 100m.
So while it may not be a home console, it's a hybrid, it's priced like a home console at $300. The Wii started at $250, Wii U at $300 and $350, and the Gamecube dropped to $99 before it was done.
So no, not 20m this fiscal year, not 38m the first 2 years, but when you outsell 3 of your last 4 similar priced pieces of hardware, that's a no question about it win.
And it doesn't need a price cut to hit 20m b/c it doesn't have to hit 20m. It will get a price cut. It will get modifications and configurations. But it's selling now. Better than Wii U that's for sure. Another year it will catch the SNES, another year after that the NES, leaving only the Wii ahead of it. And even that 100m number isn't out of the question. A very long shot, but we have to see whats' what when the 3DS goes away.
Switch could not have been released at a better time. Bringing out games like Mario Odyssey and Zelda BOTW at a time where Xbox One and PS4 are at their peak to steal some of the thunder, making sure the Switch will stay relevent for a long time while Microsoft and Sony are now scrambling 2018 trying to figure out where to go next as their consoles are staring to dwindle in popularity.
The Bloomberg always represents big players who trade against you.Believe a article made your counterparty?better believe you gona hit jackpot.
I agree with waluigifan1's assessment of the cheap games, but if we're going to get high horsepower games, I almost want to see those on a Switch 2 that has the graphical capability of the XBX/PS4Pro. Preferably really soon rather than next gen (and lagging behind again).
Well yeah, a port of the Wii U Smash game isn't gonna save this system. Geez, Nintendo is so lazy these days.
waits for people to take me seriously as usual
Dont understimate Smash.
@Joeynator3000 Why did it take me so long to understand your sarcasm
Bring back vc or more consoles to nso. There, problem solved. You'll be able to make up that 38 million units you wanted to hit in a heart beat.
35 million sold means that it outsold the n64 and is well on its way to outselling Xbox One/Super Nintendo. That is crazy good in the sales department.
Two words: Smash. Bros.
Not to mention the huge heavy hitters already announced for 2019 and the inevitable aces they will reveal in the next direct.
No matter what happens though, one fact remains: Pachter is a freakin idiot.
Hilarious that we’re supposed to consider 35 million units in two years a disappointment. It’s on track with PS4, it’s already one of Nintendo’s most successful products ever (a feat it’s accomplished WITHOUT any price cuts and practically no official bundles), and the all-important Christmas season is just now getting underway, so these types of articles are a little strange to me at this point. Especially when they cite Michael Freaking Pachter, of all people.
I’ve said for a while there should be a Switch bundle with 1 Dock and 2 Switch’s for $499. 1 SKU double the unit sales
Honestly, this isn't too bad of a prediction. Though, I don't think the missed target means bad or poor sales. It's still an increase in sales over last year and shows the Switch has a healthy life ahead of it.
@illmatic20xx sales. Not “sells.”
Also, Pacter's comparison to the 3ds pricecut is rather strange. If the Switch gets a price cut next year (which I could definitely see), it would be a fairly normal cut seen by most healthy systems like what the PS4 has seen throughout the years. The 3DS price cut was a last ditch effort to save a failing console before it fell into the realm of obscurity like the Wii U eventually did. It ended up being a very smart business move and did save the 3DS, sure, but a Switch price cut would be a standard strategy to keep a healthy console healthy.
The biggest top 10 disappointments about the Nintendo Switch in 2018 to me are these (in no particular order):
1 - Nintendo Labo
2 - The lacking Nintendo Online service
3 - No Virtual Console
4 - E3 2018 is basically a Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Direct
5 - Stupid voice chat setup via the Switch app
6 - Mario Tennis Aces
7 - The NES Joycon controllers
8 - Restricting cloud save to a few titles sucks
9 - Still no sign of Metroid Prime 4
10 - Resident Evil 7: Cloud Edition
The biggest top 10 hurrahs about the Nintendo Switch in 2018 to me are these (in no particular order):
1 - Dragon Ball FighterZ and Monster Hunter Generation Ultimate for Switch
2 - Fortnite and Warframe for Switch
3 - Crossplay with other platforms
4 - Great eShop sales
5 - YouTube for Switch
6 - Pokemon and Super Smash Bros. Ultimate announcement
7 - Grandia I & II, Onimusha, and the Resident Evil HD announcement
8 - The Final Fantasy announcement
9 - The Crash N.Sane Trilogy, Valkyria Chronicles 4, Diablo III: The Eternal Collection, Sonic Mania Plus, Mega Man 11, Dark Souls Remastered, and Octopath Traveler for Switch are awesome.
10 - The Piranha Plant as a free playable DLC fighter for Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
With 2019 looking to be as good, if not better, than 2017, I don’t think Nintendo is too worried about an analist suggested “reality check”. Especially with the couple of heavy hitters already proving their worth, released over the holidays.
@waluigifan1 I agree with 1-2-Switch, but the rest (barring a few minor gripes with Tennis Aces) are perfectly great, competent games...
2019 is something too lookout for, sure this year was not that great only big release smash.
I only agree with one thing: labo is so lame.
The rumours of [Nintendo's] death have been greatly exaggerated.
Don't worry- Animal Crossing will save the Switch!
@waluigifan1 ARMS lousy? Have you ever actually played it?
I stopped reading right there.
@retro_player_22 I have a feeling we're gonna be hearing/seeing more about Prime 4 at the game awards.
Well, the fiscal year isn't over yet.
TBH I would have agreed with these analysts in Nintendo missing their fiscal year forecasts by 2-3 million units...
But with the bigger-than-expected success of Pokemon Let's Go, I'm starting to think that 20 million unit forecast isn't so unreachable anymore.
I love how Mat Piscatella and Serkan Toto, actual video game analysts are pretty much laughing these Bloomberg guys out of the window.
Yeah the 20 million forecast was silly but they’re estimating 35 million sales in just over 2 years. More than any other system in the same timeframe apart from the Wii and similar to the DS, PS4 and PS2 (direct comparisons being slightly difficult there due to staggered international launches).
“Reality check”. That is called a “reality check”
@KingBowser86 While a handheld console as powerful as that would be lovely the technology does not yet exist to create one. It will eventually but don't expect it anytime soon.
@Zelda79 They were hoping for 20 million in the Switch's second year which if achieved would take total sales past 38 million. They sold 18 million in the first year. .
Bloomberg also reported that the Nintendo Switch was the most purchased console for the Black Friday weekend and the third most sought after toy for Cyber Monday, but what does Bloomberg know. Not as much as Bloomberg.
Weren't those the very same naysayers saying the Switch has lack of Power to keep up with the couch consoles but here we are 3 years after release and it still is selling. Makes you wonder whom is out of touch here? Who cares about the target number as long as the sales are steady that what matters in the long run. Analysts always put their best foot in their mouths.
Can this site seriously stop bringing up Michael Pachter? The guy has proven numerous times that he doesn't know anything and only makes stupid random predictions only to be false. Also the guy even disrespected Iwata which already shows that he doesn't understand gaming
You know that something is wrong when on the same week you read articles about Switch breaking records and analysts predicting negative results.
The Switch is clearly a successful, viable platform for Nintendo which will sell better than all their previous home console efforts bar the Wii. Nintendo will be making profits for many years to come. Reality check indeed.
@Beetoe He certainly loves crying about it. He needs to learn to let go.
Have a look at his Comments history. Endless, obsessive crying about ARMS and Mario Tennis.
@belfastgonzo Great find. Why are people, let alone gaming sites giving Pachter any attention at this point?
Might as well have posts about grandmas "psychic" dog that predicts stock outcomes by eating from a red or blue bowl....
(Hint: at current rate Pachter is less then 50% correct (45% success-rate), so give a dog a 50/50 choice and it will be more successful....)
@waluigifan1 "Well if they keep making lousy and unfinished games like Mario Tennis Aces, Labo, ARMS, and 1 2 Switch"
You're letting your personal taste get in the way. All the above have sold well, with the exception of Labo which combined did a million plus but hey...and Metroid has never been a massive seller. Niche title.
I have also analysed the market and think Nintendo will fall 339,213 consoles short of their target. Now give me £50 grand please for my efforts.
A lot of analysts in kindergarten, I personally know a few of them...
@waluigifan1 Arms & 12 Switch didn't harm Switch sales last year though. As for Mario Tennis, it's doing great. Clearly not the correct reason.
You do not know what you are talking about,the core fans like us will not get Nintendo to their target,it's the mass market that will propel the Switch,just like it's been doing since the consoles launch.
We also have to bear in mind Nintendo could be planning a big release in the first quater of 2019,they would not want to reveal this now as they do a big chunk of their business in the holiday period,and they will want maximum exposure for Pokemon and Smash.
I have joined in Party Crash Event last week by using Min Min and i got a lot of badges after my Min Min reached lv 24 in Party Crash Event. (Gah! Need 1 more level to reach lv 25 so i can get another badge).
It was fun and..... you should try that game.
Seem a lot of people here neglected to read the part that clearly stated the figures were an average across eight different analysts. This is just guidance for investors, not us or Nintendo. It's helps people decide where to rest their millions to get the best return. Annoying forum goers, I honestly believe, isn't their intention.
The thing I don't get is that the analysts clearly identify that reducing the price of the Hardware will significantly boost sales, yet they don't appear to credit the fact that the Switch is selling at an impressive rate despite NOT having any price cut. This fact alone surely makes it a perfectly sensible investment opportunity... It sells well at full price. They haven't reduced the price yet. It's going to fly off the shelves even faster when they do reduce the price. Yep, I'll invest!
The audience Nintendo are going after with LABO is not an audience that's going to drop the best part of £400 on a console, a game and the LABO kit. When the prices start to drop, most likely from second half of 2019, then LABO could start to deliver on its promise... The only criticism I have is that they released it too early. It should have been a year 3 addition, to coincide with price cuts and bring in the family gamers. How can they make LABO exciting again in 12 months time?
@belfastgonzo I was wondering what his success rate was. "Ranked #4,489 out of 5,112 Analysts on TipRanks (#10,572 out of 11,680 overall experts)" Says it all... Why is anyone still listening to him?
Why are people so thrilled at the thought of the switch failing ? Almost as if they want it to fail.
35.000.000 for 2 years of life is a small number???
Every gaming company dreams these numbers, especially if someone thinks that the console is starting rolling NOW!!! Untill now developers were testing the console. As we see a lot of games anounced every day and also strong titles are coming. Personally i bought PS4 from the first day and for 3 years the only good games for me were Bloodborne and Metal gear 5. PS4 became a good console with good titles last months. Switch has started very strong with these numbers and will continue much better!
🤣 These "anal(f)ists" forget about smashbros ultimate coming out 🔜soon, we will have shortage of switches all over again.
This is a very careless and clueless analysis. It makes no sense to publish this before the Switch's biggest weeks of the year. And he didn't even mention Pokemon LG or Smash. This is a hatchet job, not any sort of analysis at all.
This is the end... Nintendo is doomed.. NOT !
1 - Yeah.
2 - Yeah.
3 - Varies on me. Maybe they will add SNES and N64, and if those have online multiplayer, I have high hopes for that part of the service.
4 - Well, it's also one of their most popular franchises and the other games aren't ready to be shown yet.
5 - Yeah.
6 - Yeah.
7 - Thirty bucks per controller (if you think optimistically of the bundle) isn't too bad when you think about it. Sucks they don't work with any other games, though. They even have shoulder buttons, so I don't see why not with, say, Shovel Knight or Shantae.
8 - Based on their current infrastructure, it's understandable, but they need to update that system to add backups of multiplayer-esque games like Splatoon 2, so that users keep their data and the cheaters are gone too. Based on how it is, I'd prefer no cheaters over backups, but they really need server-sided saves so that Splatoon 2 players can come back to their data and the hackers are gone.
9 - They're putting effort into the next one is why they didn't mention it this year. It's still coming out by next year, most likely, if it was announced over a year ago. And it's also an adequate doing it, so they won't screw us over as badly as certain other companies do that announce things way too early.
10 - The Switch is too weak to handle the main game, so that's also understandable. Sucks it's only viable in Japan, but I'd say that's more our fault for not having adequate enough internet to support the idea yet. And it was never released outside Japan anyway, so I don't see why this bothers you.
ARMS an unfinished game? Mario Tennis Aces an unfinished game? WTAF?
Switch is doing just fine - the games keep coming and okay so maybe a drop in AAA titles but who cares?
I’ve got: Zelda, Mario Kart, Mario Odyssey, Fortnite, Fifa 19, FM Touch 2018, Sonic, Gear Club, Golf Story, Stardew Valley, Fe, Bayonetta 2, Horizon Chase, Bomberman R, Puyo Puyo Tetris, Runner 3, Yoku’s islamd express, Warframe, Road Redemption, Full metal Furies, Splatoon 2, Miles and Kilo, Doom, Resident Evil, Runbow, Capcom Beat em bundle, SF 30th anniversary collection, Super meat boy, mega man 11, rocket league, arms, donkey king, starlink.....and about 20 more! If I had an x box or PS4 I’d probably have 10 FPS games!
Genuinely love the switch and of course Nintendo will revise it over time - handheld only bundles are rumoured to be heading our way, I could see a larger screen, maybe a mini version, a more powerful version.
There really is no need for any concern over switch. It was never going to be aimed at challenging the other two. It is what it is and that’s a bloody great piece of kit! Long may it reign.
I've just returned from a trip to Shanghai. I was amazed at how many places where selling the switch. No sign of PS4 or Xbox. Speaking with local colleges i'm told it is the same though out china, at least within the large urban areas, of which there are many. I'm not sure where these units are being sourced or the sales accounted for but these may well be only exposed to the market thought quarterly / year end reports.
@KingBowser86 Is that even possible?
How is 2018 a reality check when it's up YoY by about 10% at the time of the second earning reports?
In fact, Switch will not face hardware shortage this year which should mean a ton more switch sellings, Pokemon moved 200k IN 1 WEEK in Japan (let's see how it moves tho), its among the best selling items in both Blackfriday and Cybermonday.
I mean, analyst also said mobile will take over and that consoles will die, and while surely Mobile is big, consoles are selling better and better overall.
Also, afaik one of those analyst said Apple should have sold everything back in 2000
I think the analysts are wrong...
There's still 4 months left to reach that goal, plus the Holiday season, potential Janauary sales for software and maybe some new bundles before Ninty's year end. PLUS, there's National Kiss a Ginger Day, so everyone will rush out to buy Nintendo products with Daisy in it.
It’s been over a year since I’ve turned on my Switch. There are too many new games to play on other systems for me to play ports on Switch. My Switch is for AAA Nintendo titles, and it’s been over a year since we’ve seen one. Unfortunately I’m not a big Smash fan, and the new game is pretty much the same game we’ve been playing for years. Luigi’s Mansion 3 and Metroid will probably be the reason I dust off the Switch.
That's how I know Nintendo will achieve their goal.
the biggest news out of this is Michael Pachter still has a job? ive never seen him correct about anything in gaming, if he was right the ps4 and xbox 1 wouldnt exhist if he was correct the ps4 would be streaming only, if he was correct nintendo would have went third party back in 2006 and then agian in 2011 and again in 2016. First off ive noticed he is a Nintendo hater and he is never correct about anything....everyone i know who owns a switch doesnt think of it as a hand held but thinks of it as a console that i can use away from the tv....
as for them missing thier goal sales i think SSBU will sell a many a system, i know they missed the black friday rush but i have seen just in my family both young and old gearing up to get a switch or buy ssbu if they already have one...hell two of my cousins both in thier 30s bought super smash bros switch editions already...my point is nobody knows how many systems SSBU will push when released.
edit http://www.reaxxion.com/2959/michael-pachter-represents-the-failure-of-video-game-futures-analysis reason enough for him never to be used as a Expert and i really wish people would stop using him for anything gaming cause he is clueless, declaring nintendo dead when the Wii released LMFAO this guy is a total joke.
Well Nintendo just released a statement saying they just beat the sales of the Wii over the 5 day holiday period so I would say the analysts are probably going to be wrong.
Well, there was this from Kimishima earlier in the year. Seems making the second year for the Switch wasn't a priority after all then.
@Rika_Yoshitake http://www.reaxxion.com/2959/michael-pachter-represents-the-failure-of-video-game-futures-analysis this alone should have all sites just stop reporting on this fraud,,,, if i ran this site his name would never come up and anything he said i would definitely go the other way cause history has proved this guy is a tool and literally has no clue what he is talking about.
@waluigifan1 You read too much internet otherwise you would instantly know that the games you are mentioning are not lousy or unfinished.
Friendly Advice: Don't read internet too much. Buy the games and then have your own opinion.
@NinChocolate I saw some new rumors yesterday that Sony is possibly making vita 2 now, I wouldn't be doubtful with the switch success that Sony is reconsidering.
While Nintendo is saying all sorts of records are being broken. Too soon patcher?
Obviously Michael Pachter still doesn't do his full homework before opening his venus fly trap to comment. Did he see the sales figures for Nintendo's Black Friday? And we still don't know the impact that Smash Bros will have closer to Christmas. Before he starts speculating out his rectum, he should actually do some analysis with all the facts. It's supposed to be his job, right?
SSBU hasn't released yet, so I guess there's still a chance. Feel free to stop pushing the 3DS/2DS so much, or lower your Switch sales projections. Can't have it both ways, Nintendo. Best of luck either way
Nintendo has doomed me into never being able to play all the games I want. There are just too many for me.
Although I do appreciate that the portability if the switch makes it easier to actually play the games I want.
These "analysts" have been getting it wrong for a long time now, they are rarely correct it seems.
You can't spell, "analyst," without, A, N, A and L.
Yeah. I went there.
@Ludovsky Don't get me wrong I like the system. 2019 looks great so far. So far though the 1st party output isn't looking the best. At the end of the day it's what sells consoles. I'm sure Smash and Pokemon are going to be a huge success this year.
@Beetoe Why yes I have. I wasn't impressed especially as a full price title.
Cut the price to $250 and give it a web browser and tablet like apps. Parents would rather pay for this than an ipad for their kids. On that note lower the 2xl to $100
With the hardware boost the Switch has seen just with the release of Pokemon Let's Go and Smash not even out yet, I think it's premature to say the wont hit their sales target of 20million units for the financial year 2018. Considering they do 60% of their business between November and January, and only need to shift 15 million units by end of April 2019, its doable especially with the two aforementioned heavy hitters. As for Pachter, his credentials or lack thereof, speak for themselves.
@belfastgonzo Ha! Also of note on that site, if you'd followed Pachter's buy/sell stock recommendations since 2009 you could've made an average profit of... negative 3%. I suppose that means you'd make a small profit by doing the opposite of everything he had said.
@waluigifan1 I wish people would stop claiming Metroid is a system seller and 'needed' to sell the switch and blah, blah, blah....
Metroid has never been a system seller. The best selling Metroid game is Metroid Prime which sold 2.8 million (on the Gamecube). Looking at the Wii, Metroid Prime 3 sold 1.79 million units (note-- MP3 is the third best selling Metroid Game). Whereas the following Lego games on the Wii outsold it (and I am only using sale figures from the Wii versions): Lego Star Wars: The Complete Saga, Lego Batman, Lego Harry Potter: Years 1-4, and Lego Indiana Jones.
Honorable mention: Lego Star Wars: Episode 3 tied the sales numbers of Metroid Prime 3.
So unless multi-platform licensed Lego games are also system sellers, Metroid is certainty not a system seller.
@waluigifan1 Just judging by Smash already being the most pre-ordered game of the franchise AND Pokemon Let's Go being the best sellers on the eshop alone(and most friends already owning the game even if I don't yet)....
.... I'd say they're already doing very well.
In a way 2018 might end up purely the year of "adjustment" where both first and third party studios were still gearing up their development process to at least have their 2019 titles ready. A year of wait for us to get hungry before the flood of titles.
I mean, just confirmed stuff:
Metroid Prime 4 is likely.
Yoshi nigh confirmed.
Fire Emblem, now almost a Nintendo institution by itself, is confirmed for 2019 too.
So even if they aren't "most popular franchises ever" series(as someone pointed about Metroid not selling THAT well) the fact is still that they are ones which have brought attention to the system even for people not directly purchasing them. Since they're the games for which advertising and fan hype will be made.
Dragon Quest XI is coming too.
So's the western release of Dragon Quest Builders 2(potentially even a nintendo exclusive in the west if it proves true that Nintendo is the publisher and translator for the western release).
Of other, technically smaller since older, Square Enix IPs, we'll be getting a lot of Final Fantasy titles re-releases.
Smash will have release just before 2019 and there's series of DLCs for it all the way to 2020(and unlike Smash WiiU, there should be substantial campaign-like single player mode to actually make it worth it to revisit the game outside of sporadic multiplayer sessions).
And frankly there's titles I know I'm forgetting and that's not mentionning the stuff that might get announced throughout the year(like how 2018, even if a "slower" year thus far, still saw Bayonetta, Dragon Quest Builders and Octopath Traveller among others ontop of the Octo Expansion for Splatoon 2).
Three million off from the target is not that bad. The switch already outsold the Wii U and GameCube in its first year and a half, so I don't see it becoming a failure anytime soon.
@Kevember kirby, zelda: hyrule warriors, mario tennis aces, mario party and the recent pokemon (with the oncoming SSBU), there are at least 6 nig nintendo games. only because you don't enjoy for example a kirby game, it doesn't mean that it is not a big aaa nintendo game. there are millions kirby fans out there, one should respect it. I didn't count labo in it with all the 3 labos, it would be 9 games. That's every 1.5 months 1 nintendo game... so cmon :/
"Despite Nintendo's strong hardware sales as we enter this year's holiday period, there are a number of analysts who believe the Japanese company will fall short of its target to ship 38 million units by March 2019."
Why wouldn't they it's in their own best interest to downplay the Switch insurgency.
"Price cuts were Pachter's solution"
This tells how desperate they are to downplay the popularity of the Switch sales not needing any discount to make the sales they are making.
While normally I'd be happy to see any 'news' style news here... Why post Pachter? He's pretty much a laughingstock at this point. Ah well, fun to read anyways I guess. No duh they'll miss expectations, but if he thinks they need a price cut he needs to take a second look at how much they're selling. It's already keeping pace (if not possibly outselling) with a post price cut 3DS.
So how does this work? A company guesses how much they will sell and then they are held to that guess by analysts?
@davey1983 People just say that kind of stuff when they want a game. They don't actually look into which games move systems, they just think that if they like a game enough to spend $60 then everyone else in the world will be willing to do the same and even buy a system to play it.
It's an annoying trait among gamers.
@illmatic20xx except this analysis completely ignores the fact that Smash and Pokémon Let's Go are coming out/ are out.
@MisterDevil What the fresh hell are you talking about, buddy? When did I claim those are not good or great games? I enjoy Kirby games more than you could even imagine. Does that mean such titles are console-sellers? Absolutely not. By "big hitters" I mean games such as Super Smash Bros. Ultimate or Pokémon Let's Go (a game that, by the way, I'm not planning on getting but I know sells systems). We are talking about systems sold, not games we enjoy.
All we need is a really good direct showing off Metroid, Animal Crossing, Whatever Retro Studios is working on, and maybe a few more surprises and the sales will go back up again.
@ReaderRagfish NICE avatar. Was starting to think I'd just Dreamed up Snowboard Kids 2 and my childhood along with it!
@Kevember sorry that I missunderstood then. But one has to say that last year there were also only 2 system seller games, Zelda BOTW and Mario Odyssey. Sure splatoon and mario kart moved many systems too but that was nice surprises especially mario kart. People were saying that it will fail hard because of the minor reworks for an even higher prize. For me both years have the same quality of games so I don't think that they will miss 20mio, they sold 18mio first year and second year has the games from first year too. Since many people are waiting until a console has more games to play, I'm sure that there are enough people now buying a switch for BOTW or Odyssey as their primary game and then the rest
@MisterDevil Well when it comes to this kind of stuff I try to look at things from the perspective of a non Nintendo fan. I admit I will buy any system Nintendo releases, but other people need much more to be convinced to spend $300 on a game console, and few titles can do the trick by themselves. Now as of today the Switch has one of the best game libraries out there, but many people still need that catalyst to make them really want the system. Thankfully Nintendo has plenty of that kind of titles.
@Kevember ofc that's what I meant XD with the example of BOTW or Odyssey, that many people indeed want to play them and are infact waiting for more games coming out.
I even forgot Bayonetta lol silly me. I'm pretty sure that mayn people who played bayonetta 1 on Xbox or PS wanna play the 2nd one too (I doubt that many of them bought a wiiu for it) so they might jump now on the switch too because of botw, Octopath, xenoblade and much more games now already out
as you said nintendo really has games of ANY categories! that is really nice for them and for us
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