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Topic: Pachter strikes again!!!

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Jazzer94

According to Patcher PS4 sales will surpass Wii U lifetime sale by April/May. What do you my fellow NL members think about this is this just another crazy Patcher prediction or a real possibility?
Edit: the article http://gamerfitnation.com/2014/01/michael-pachter-says-ps4-wi...

Edited on by Jazzer94

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Spanjard

Isn't Mario kart released around that time? I wouldn't be so sure.

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Klimbatize

This isn't "striking again". Anyone who even halfway pays attention to the industry could come up with a similar prediction. It sounds very reasonable considering the Wii U's first 12 months and the PS4's first.

Even if it isn't May, PS4's sales will surpass Wii U's sometime this year.

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Klimbatize

Jazzer94 wrote:

@Klimbatize Thats if PS4 sales stay at the same rate they are currently which is unlikely.

Actually, if PS4's sales stay at the same rate they are currently, PS4 will surpass Wii U by the end of January. So I agree, they won't maintain this pace.

Undoubtedly, PS4 sales will surpass Wii U sales at some point this year. Only someone with their head firmly planted in the sand would think anything else.

Edited on by Klimbatize

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Jaz007

Yeah, I agree. The PS4 demand has been insane. I don't think Sony reaching their 5 million by March goal is too impossible. That would surpass Wii U lifetime sales, so I think this has pretty good chance of happening my April/May.

Jaz007

Warruz

We are still in hype mode with Next Gen sadly, In all reality nothing is valuable at this moment on PS4 and Xbox One. There is no game on either system at this very moment that are must haves. There is lots coming out on the Nintendo Pipe line that looks good and aparently Nintendo likes to wait last second to tell us anything (Hyrule Warriors) as an example.

I talked about this before and all I can say is the Wii U is in a far to hard of an area to predict as the gaming market is changing, and analyst in this case don't seem to account for that.

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Jazzer94

Jaz007 wrote:

Yeah, I agree. The PS4 demand has been insane. I don't think Sony reaching their 5 million by March goal is too impossible. That would surpass Wii U lifetime sales, so I think this has pretty good chance of happening my April/May.

Thats assuming WiiU sales stay at around 5 million I'm not suggesting games like DKTCTF and MK8 will move millions and millions of units alone but I think they will affect hardware sales to some degree and then Smash (if its not delayed will also add to that). I think closer to Winter 2014 is more reasonable as it will be after E3 where Sony can show its bigger franchises and generate more hype at the moment their next big release is Infamous Second Sons which I don't see converting many PS3 owners into PS4 owners April/May seems to optimistic.

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Klimbatize

Warruz wrote:

...and aparently Nintendo likes to wait last second to tell us anything (Hyrule Warriors) as an example.

But...Hyrule Warriors isn't coming this week. It's sometime in 2014 (which probably means at the end of the year). They don't even have the title for the game finalized. That's "last second"? Sounds like people are now banking on miracles from Nintendo to save the Wii U, or looking them as magicians with amazing tricks up their sleeves.

It's not the end of the world if PS4 outsells the Wii U.

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Lzeon

PS4 outdid the Wii U, plain and simple. This is why I want Nintendo to just focus on selling the Wii U rather than outselling the other consoles like many want them to.

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The only Wii U games I would call being announced at the "last second" would be Dr. Luigi, NES Remix and to an extent Wii Sports Club, hardly any of them big titles

Big ones like Smash Bros. and Zelda U we've known about for ages.

Edited on by cookiex

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Jazzer94

CanisWolfred wrote:

It'll probably happen. In fact, I'm almost certain of it. But like Klimbatize said, it's not the end of the world.

I can see it happening just not before E3 I think plenty of potential buyers (including me) need some more reassurance on upcoming game support before purchase.

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GuSolarFlare

it's all like Klimbatize said it probably will happen and the world won't end(at least not because of this )

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Jazzer94

DarkwingLz wrote:

PS4 outdid the Wii U, plain and simple. This is why I want Nintendo to just focus on selling the Wii U rather than outselling the other consoles like many want them to.

I can only agree with this, Sony are great at promotions and advertisement which generated huge amounts of hype for the PS4, I just think there upcoming games fall a bit short at the moment.

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Mr_Nose

Want to read something even more entertaining? Check out some of his many wrong predictions...
( scroll down on the link )
http://nintendo.about.com/od/wiiliving/a/Does-Michael-Pachter...

I like the one in 2009 predicting that the last generation of consoles... ever. Seriously, why is he still quoted? He's not always wrong, but is he right enough to listen to?

Edited on by Mr_Nose

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micronean

Jazzer94 wrote:

According to Patcher PS4 sales will surpass Wii U lifetime sale by April/May. What do you my fellow NL members think about this is this just another crazy Patcher prediction or a real possibility?
Edit: the article http://gamerfitnation.com/2014/01/michael-pachter-says-ps4-wi...

I guess it depends on how Japan takes to the PS4. Either it will be a lukewarm response (like the Wii U launch was), or it will break all launch records in that part of the world, and then it could indeed surpass Wii U sales by April/May.
But, from my vantage point--as I live not 15 minutes away from the heart of Japanese gaming, Akihabara--there isn't all that much tension/expectation/excitement for the PS4 as one would assume. I mean, it's only about 6 weeks until it launches here.

Maybe the Japanese are just waiting quietly, as they typically do, but the anticipation is nowhere near the levels that it was in North America.

Personally, I'm hoping sales for all three systems are all neck-and-neck by the time E3 Rolls around. That way, there's much more interest in the presentations (live or online).

micronean

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