Topic: The Nintendo Switch Thread

@gcunit

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@Ralizah Nintendo themselves said 10 million sold through as of December 10th. Yeah I find it hard to believe they sold another 5 million since then. I can see them selling another 2 million for 12 million total, but 5 million? Nah.

Maybe 15 million shipped?

Probably meant by the end of the fiscal year, which ends in March. They are right on track to sell 15, million by the end of the fiscal year.

Little bro just added to that number. He got Splatoon 2 with it, can't wait to tear some Salmon up with him.

@JaxonH The article clearly said for all of 2017. Now maybe they were just rounding up from say 14.6 million or something. I hope it's true but even I have a hard time believing 15 million after Nintendo just said 10 million a few weeks back.

@Spoony_Tech
I didn't read it, but it just makes no sense to claim a number that high, which is why I think they meant fiscal year, even if that's not how it was said.

Only other option is shipped. Probably 11 million sold by end of 2017, with another 3.xx mil shipped out on top of it, rounding up to 15... Idk.

Fiscal year makes more sense to me

15 million for 2017 sounds incredibly optimistic. I think 12-13 million is more likely.

Sales aren't linear. If they're going to hit 15mill this fiscal year they will be very, very close to that by Jan 1. Purely because the vast majority of sales are in Dec/Nov. For example the Wii in 2008 only about 8% of the calendar year sales were in jan-mar while 42% were in oct-dec. December sales alone were ~20% of the years sales, which is typical.

I could possibly see 15 million shipped as others pointed out. No way 15 million is possible unless stores really loaded up last minute which doesn't make sense so late in the year.

Although in my area there are tons of Switches everywhere.

@skywake Yeah but doing the math shows 700k-800k sales in Japan from the start of December to now. Add in Nintendo said 10m worldwide in the first week of December, I want to know where those other 4.2 mil came from.

@YummyHappyPills
Japan is only about 1/4 of global Switch sales so there's 2.2mill explained right there without even trying. In addition there's a fair chance that whoever posted the above may have rounded. So that's another ~500k potentially explained. You're also forgetting that we only currently know Japan's sales upto Dec 24th, post-Christmas sales are a thing. That's probably another good ~500k or so globally.

All of a sudden there's only 1mill unaccounted for sales. Which is probably just whoever wrote the article confusing calendar and fiscal years....

@skywake Perhaps. It's certainly not impossible but 5 million in a month is...well let's be honest that would make the PS4 jealous.

If that is the case, then I'm both shocked and horrified. To see such sales in a single 4 weeks would be unprecedented especially at full price in the first year of a system.

@YummyHappyPills
Decent sales? definitely. But not unprecedented. Both the Wii and DS hit those sort of numbers globally for December year after year during the peak of the Wii/DS era. The PS4 has been sitting at ~4mill every December since its launch. I don't think it's surprising at all for the new top performing console on the market to be moving those sort of numbers in December.

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The Switch has already surpassed the total lifetime sales of the WiiU in Japan, apparently! (Link: Nintendo Enthusiast) ..not bad - not bad at all!

@Proust It's likely there'll be a Nintendo Direct in January.

If Nintendo reveals a load of upcoming 2018 games in January, I'll expect this to become a pattern.

Partially show your hand in January. Completely show your hand at E3. Save smaller announcements and third party stuff for Nintendo Directs.

I see 15 mil shipped as incredibly likely. They definitely won't sell 15 mil by the end of the year, but as @JaxonH said, it might mean they want to sell 15 mil by the end of the fiscal year.

Yeah, when you also consider that Nintendo have apparently 'doubled down' on production in recent months - and that certain countries/regions (eg. South Korea - huge market) have only just got the Switch - it's perfectly plausible that worldwide sales could surpass 15mil by 1st April (if current sales estimates are anything to go by)

@Proust Let them milk their catalogue over Christmas lol. Not like there aren't going to be any more games hahah