My prediction is that the switch 2 will be revealed between January 16th and February 15th. I imagine it's after Donkey Kong because it will completely kill any marketing for that game, but I think it will be before Pokemon day so the Pokemon company can talk about switch 2 products during the presentation. If I have to pick a specific date, I'd say January 30th.
@Sigran102 It's crazy we had the same dates in mind (though I did not factor in Pokemon Day so I had a bit more of February as a possibility)! I still think a January or early February reveal with a mid- to late-February Direct would be most likely.
@TheBigBlue A february direct with no switch 2 seems very unlikely considering the deadline to announce it is March. Why put out a switch 1 direct a month before announcing the next console? Everyone will forget about the february announcements.
My thoughts ATM, for what they're worth given how wrong I've been thus far:
Mid to Late January reveal, not just a trailer but a full presentation blow out like we saw for Switch
February/March Direct to cover some titles outlined in more detail. Explaining how BC will interact with Switch and new NSO features etc. But also some coverage of OG Switch content and "cross gen" upgrades
@skywake Personally I don't see a H1 reveal and H1 release, it feels like that's not enough time in between. Also I think Nintendo often avoids May for console releases (which should especially be the case with this huge of demand for Switch 2), although games like TOTK and TTYD have recently released in May so I guess they could consider it this time around.
My guess is
March 2025 reveal
June/July Nintendo Switch 2 Presentation or Direct
H2 2025 release, likely in September/October (leaning on September to maximize amount of games to release for console so people aren't stuck with 'nothing to play' year 1/Holiday season)
I think Switch will still have a decent amount of 1st/2nd party games going in 2025/2026 and possibly a bit into 2027 (ten years after Switch release?!?!), such as random side Kirby games, (I'd love to see that!) and some smaller titles, and spin-offs. We should still be getting some Switch 1 announcements throughout next year, although not sure exactly when. Perhaps just random posts like Xenoblade X? Maybe a February Switch 1 Direct?
Nintendo keeps making sure they're unpredictable. Like they could just go out and say Switch 2 releases 2026 like it's nothing
@Don I hope so. I loved Prime back in the day and absolutely loved the remaster. I didn't like Prime 2 though. If I remember correctly though, I didn't give it much of a chance. I'm sure I'd get on much better with it now. I'm a big fan of 3 though, played through it twice. A remaster of that would be amazing.
June/July Nintendo Switch 2 Presentation or Direct
H2 2025 release, likely in September/October (leaning on September to maximize amount of games to release for console so people aren't stuck with 'nothing to play' year 1/Holiday season)
Waiting that long for release feels like Nintendo would be shooting themselves in the foot a bit. We know Switch sales have gone down a lot recently and overall profit expectations went down for this fiscal year. Combine that with the fact that even Nintendo's biggest titles this year have had complaints about performance. After that last huge hurrah in 2023, Switch is finally really getting long in the tooth.
As for 'nothing to play' in holiday 2025, the easiest way to deal with that would be to have a huge game in Spring corresponding to release and another huge game (e.g Mario Kart) in Fall.
As with Skywake, most of my predictions recently have been wrong, but regardless of predictions I feel like Nintendo has really dropped the ball if they can't get early 2025 release and multiple huge 2025 titles to start Switch 2 off on a massive wave.
@PikminMarioKirby
I get that pessimism is "winning" the speculation game ATM but I would still argue that the only reason anyone is picking March is because it's the last possible month. There's no particular reason to think it's March other than, well, setting your expectations low. Which is not a particularly good reason to believe it IMO
The reason I think January makes sense is that, like October, it's just before their next investors meeting. Usually a fairly good time for announcements. And I would note that despite this last October not having the Switch 2 reveal some expected it might it did have fairly weighty announcements. Nintendo Music, the NSO PlayTest and an announcement of a port for Xenoblade Chronicles X. Also they did use the investor meeting to announce officially that Switch 2 will be compatible with both Switch software and NSO
From there then the question is when the launch will happen. And while sure, January -> May would usually be pretty short the Switch 2 is also not that complicated a sell. I would also note that with the Switch while we did get a trailer in late October after that they didn't really do much at all until that big January presentation. I could see them echoing this but dropping the, for Switch 2 arguably unnecessary, first trailer
Also... they're already making them... I still can't square that fact with a late 2025 release...
@Novamii Perhaps if we start expecting 2026 Nintendo will go ahead and release it 2025 XD
@FishyS I personally was hoping to see October announcement -> March/April release for Switch 2. H1 is the perfect time so they can build up the amount of games before Christmas/Holiday season, and it's good to separate the Holiday and Launch sales especially if there's worries about shortages/not enough supply. but I just don't see that as a possibility if we're getting a January/February reveal. Especially since we knew Switch/NX was releasing in March 2017 since March 2016, I don't think we'd be getting an announcement only 3-4 months before release. I'd be surprised if we got an H1 release at this point, but that wouldn't be a bad thing!
@skywake I haven't really been keeping track of the general consensus from Nintendo fans and when they expect a reveal, but I am saying March because I am expecting a September release. (maybe even late February to an early September launch?) January is kind of a weird month for the reveal in my opinion, it feels too early in the year, especially right after the Christmas/Holiday season. I'd say late January, February, and March are all still on the table though. To me it feels like everything pointed towards a H1 release, but I just can't see an early year announcement AND release.
I really like the idea of the initial reveal being a huge blowout like the Nintendo Switch Presentation 2017, although I think Nintendo wants the game reveals to be separate headlines from the initial hardware reveal.
@PikminMarioKirby@skywake I feel it all comes down to Pokemon. If Legends Z-A silence was because TPC wants to showcase debut gameplay running on Switch 2 then we know the Switch 2 reveal's happening before Pokemon Day (February 27th). If the silence is for a different reason and hence TPC is fine showcasing debut gameplay running on Switch 1 then March reveal seems most likely because it fits Nintendo's personality more (being the last event of that event season allows them to have the spotlight all to themselves).
I'm leaning more towards February reveal because I don't see the point in revealing Legends Z-A so early if the plan all along was to stay silent until February 2025.
@PikminMarioKirby@Grumblevolcano
I would just note that with the Switch the full presentation was in mid January. Before then they were relatively quiet outside of that October trailer and an appearance on Fallon. After it they opened the gates, the very next day they had a Treehouse event and they then went on a hardware tour
We talk a lot about the October reveal but while that did matter it was arguably the January showcase that launched the Switch
And again, the next investor meeting is early February. Plus if we want it before Pokemon Day well, January is also before Pokemon Day
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