The Switch 2 isn't a market leader yet. They'll maybe have sold 20 million or so of them by the time GTA6 drops on other consoles. Most of those people will be fans of games like Mario Kart, Donkey Kong, Zelda and Kirby too, not edgy M-rated games, because they're the exclusive franchises for the launch window.
Cyberpunk and Elden Ring are maybe filling that niche, but they're probably aiming for sales in the low millions on Switch, not the sort of numbers that GTA needs, or is used to on other platforms.,
That's not to say that it wouldn't come to Switch 2 eventually, but I wouldn't think that there's a lot of urgency for an early port and they'd probably pave the way with remakes of other Rockstar games first. Time it for three or four years down the line, and maybe it'll come to the hypothetical Sony and Microsoft handhelds too.
@Matt_Barber yes it isn’t the market leader yet. The rumor suggest the game will launch with pc version in late 26 or 27. Possibly 50 million or more s2 sold at that point. Nothing against you personally but if a good version of GTA 6 releases on S2 it will sell 5 million easy. It’s just easy money.
The Switch 2 isn't a market leader yet. They'll maybe have sold 20 million or so of them by the time GTA6 drops on other consoles. Most of those people will be fans of games like Mario Kart, Donkey Kong, Zelda and Kirby too, not edgy M-rated games, because they're the exclusive franchises for the launch window.
Cyberpunk and Elden Ring are maybe filling that niche, but they're probably aiming for sales in the low millions on Switch, not the sort of numbers that GTA needs, or is used to on other platforms.,
That's not to say that it wouldn't come to Switch 2 eventually, but I wouldn't think that there's a lot of urgency for an early port and they'd probably pave the way with remakes of other Rockstar games first. Time it for three or four years down the line, and maybe it'll come to the hypothetical Sony and Microsoft handhelds too.
20 million? Vastly underestimating imo. Nintendo themselves are predicting 15 million this fiscal year, add in the Christmas holiday and the months leading up to May 2026? Yeah, it'll likely be north of 25 million by then. Who knows if it really catches fire. And if you add in the rumour says it will launch late 2026 or early 2027, the install base will be massive by then.
And even then, these games do not stop selling once it hits a platform. These are evergreen titles, so-called "forever games." Sure the single player might take you 25 hours, but the multiplayer will last you a decade. GTAV literally still hits the monthly charts from time to time, that's the kind of legs it has.
So yeah, opening up the door to GTA6 on Switch 2 means a metric ton of new sales over the life of the platform.
It's a rumour, could definitely be false. I know it. Im not hanging any coats on it. But I think it is very plausible, and gets more so every second that guy is still posting and not temp banned for spreading fake rumours
@Quantumz00 Nintendo's current fiscal year is April 2025 - March 2026 so their 15 million Switch 2 forecast is looking at the June 2025 launch to the end of March 2026. If Nintendo's forecast is accurate, around 20 million by the end of May 2026 would seem realistic.
@Quantumz00 Nintendo's current fiscal year is April 2025 - March 2026 so their 15 million Switch 2 forecast is looking at the June 2025 launch to the end of March 2026. If Nintendo's forecast is accurate, around 20 million by the end of May 2026 would seem realistic.
Yes but if you listened to their investor q&a, they said they made the "conservative [15 million] estimate" based on the fact Switch 2 is pricier than a typical Nintendo platform, and that by their own admission the 15mil number might be downplaying it as demand is well outpacing their predictions.
Yeah, it'll likely be north of 25 million by then.
I'd pump the breaks a little bit. No console has sold 25+ million units in a year since the Switch sold 29m in 2021 during the height of the pandemic. You have to consider the production bottleneck with China. Granted there's a 90-day tariff pause that just began, but who knows what the will happen afterwards.
Switch Physical Collection - 1,555 games (as of March 31st, 2026)
Switch 2 Physical Collection - 4 games (as of December 8th, 2025)
I do agree it's ambitious, but given the fact Switch 2 already seems likely to truly obliterate all previous console launches based purely on demand and inventory alone... not impossible. Tough, but not impossible.
From all appearances, Nintendo is going to have more Switch 2 stock at launch than pretty much any console launch in memory. I hope this is true so they can set these records, because I think it'll be a balloon effect. The more it sells, the more hyped people are about it being a "hot must have product", the more developers and publishers are inclined to bring their big games to Switch 2.
Like the developer of Clair Obscur saying that game was so successful that it opens up a lot of doors for them, and that a "Switch 2 port seems interesting."
You start selling like hotcakes, it goes from interesting, to necessary
100m sold by the end of 2029 (54 months) is a bold guesstimation. Yes, the Switch 2 will come out of the gate fast and hot the first couple years because the Nintendo faithful have been asking for a Switch Pro since 2017. But how are the casual fans going to react to the $450 msrp? Or how they'll react if China tariffs are reinstated and Nintendo raise that msrp?
Switch Physical Collection - 1,555 games (as of March 31st, 2026)
Switch 2 Physical Collection - 4 games (as of December 8th, 2025)
If nintendo raises the MSRP I do think all bets are off. I think that's why Nintendo keeps posting a "conservative estimate" of 15million for this FY, because they have no clue what the orange monster is going to do next. He could forget about tariffs, or he could make things so much worse. Hard to plan around the whims of a maniac as a company. I don't envy Sony, Nintendo or Microsoft's position.
I already think tariffs have done severe enough damage to Microsofts business - forcing them to raise the price on their already not selling hardware - that Microsofts days as a serious competitor in the hardware space is over. I don't see how they can recover from being 100 more expensive than their far more desirable competitors platform ps5.
Likewise, if Nintendo is forced to raise the price of the Switch 2 still further, I do think it'd drop out of the territory most families would support for a videogame console. I don't think any of the targets would be met internally then.
This is not a problem solitary to Nintendo, as i keep saying though. Sony is going to face some real difficult choices in pricing their next-gen PS6 console if something doesn't give over tariffs in the long haul and if orange man doesn't gtfo of office soon. Microsoft already faced a difficult choice, and now they're trapped putting all their games on ps5 and being brutally outsold by Sony and Nintendo and having the most expensive platform by far. Sony will soon face that choice once they run out of their stockpile.
Nintendo may run into this choice if they run through their switch 2 stockpile and havent come up with a solution to dodge the tariffs if they get any more punitive. Nintendo claims the 449 price already accounts for a tariff of 10%.. any more than that we are in uncharted territory.
And the tariffs trump has put on the all-important countries of Vietnam and China have shocked pretty much everyone for their egregiousness already, so all bets are already close to off
100m sold by the end of 2029 (54 months) is a bold guesstimation. Yes, the Switch 2 will come out of the gate fast and hot the first couple years because the Nintendo faithful have been asking for a Switch Pro since 2017. But how are the casual fans going to react to the $450 msrp? Or how they'll react if China tariffs are reinstated and Nintendo raise that msrp?
You do know the US is not the whole world, and that the rest of the world has not set some ridiculous tariffs on products made in China, right?
And yeah, I know that the US was the single largest individual market for Switch 1, but that doesn't mean the Switch 2 can't be very successful even if it doesn't sell as well in the US as Switch 1 did.
And yeah, I know that the US was the single largest individual market for Switch 1, but that doesn't mean the Switch 2 can't be very successful even if it doesn't sell as well in the US as Switch 1 did.
Of course.
I just feel that a projection of 85m consoles over seven years is a more...realistic outlook.
Switch Physical Collection - 1,555 games (as of March 31st, 2026)
Switch 2 Physical Collection - 4 games (as of December 8th, 2025)
100m sold by the end of 2029 (54 months) is a bold guesstimation. Yes, the Switch 2 will come out of the gate fast and hot the first couple years because the Nintendo faithful have been asking for a Switch Pro since 2017. But how are the casual fans going to react to the $450 msrp? Or how they'll react if China tariffs are reinstated and Nintendo raise that msrp?
You do know the US is not the whole world, and that the rest of the world has not set some ridiculous tariffs on products made in China, right?
And yeah, I know that the US was the single largest individual market for Switch 1, but that doesn't mean the Switch 2 can't be very successful even if it doesn't sell as well in the US as Switch 1 did.
Outside of Japan, where they are selling a special region locked console just to subsidize the costs for that territory, it's highly unlikely Nintendo is going to offload the entire price of the tariffs on us territories (despite the fact thatd be the fair thing to do). Just like Microsoft didnt only raise the price in the USA but the world, Nintendo too will spread the increased costs of tariffs to consumers across their worldwide network.
Sadly if tariffs go up here, the price impact will be felt worldwide. The United States is simply too dominate a territory for most of these companies to reasonably ignore or implode "just" this territory.
Even if these companies weren't doing this (its already happening so no chance of that), consumers in other countries are going to feel the impending economic downtown as the US economy collapses - and it is going to, within the next two years we will be in a severe recession with stagflation or hyper inflation. Then things are going to get really bad.
And just as we were talking plausible rumors about GTA6, a major website is now reporting Switch 2 is going to get a version of Red Dead Redemption 2. If that doesn't prove Rockstar and Take Two is serious about Switch 2, I don't know what does:
Earlier this year, in the midst of a flurry of Nintendo Switch 2 leaks just before its official reveal video, publications such as Gamereactor heard the inevitable rumours about the first Nintendo and third-party games that would accompany the console. We heard of Cyberpunk 2077, Split Fiction, Final Fantasy VII, and Elden Ring, titles finally confirmed at the Nintendo Switch 2 Direct presentation in April. But there was one big rumoured game that we'd heard of and who yet missed the party: Red Dead Redemption 2.
And it's happened again. Gamereactor has heard from sources close to Rockstar that the acclaimed Wild West open-world opus, considered one of the best video games ever, is not only on its way to Nintendo Switch 2, but could be coming to the new console as soon as later this year. The very same has been heard and is corroborated over at Nintendo, and from different sources.
What's more, RDR2 for Switch 2 wouldn't be coming alone or as a one-off move, but it's possible that it could be coming at the same time, or somewhat later, as an update to the game for current-gen hardware - one of the so-called "next-gen upgrade patch" that brings the graphics and performance of Red Dead Redemption 2 up to date for PS5 and Xbox Series X|S.
@Quantumz00 Not really proof of anything. The Switch couldn’t run the game but the Switch 2 can, so it made sense to port it. The Switch received LA Noire & RDR because the hardware was more in line with that of a PS3/Xbox 360, so porting was easy. The Switch 2 is somewhere between a PS4/Xbox Series S so RDR2 makes total sense as it’ll be an easy money making port. We didn’t even get GTA V on Switch. Rockstar just wants to port what is easy onto Nintendo consoles and requires little support afterwards.
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I know it's not proof, it is just fuel for the fire that they are interested in Switch 2 in ways they were not about Switch 1. Take Two CEO was on the record just yesterday saying they are very optimistic about Switch 2 and plan to bring many more games to the platform:
Right now everybody including me are just reading tea leaves. But when you start adding the rumours, comments and state of the industry together, it begins to seem very plausible indeed.
No, we do not have proof or close. And with the limitations of Switch 2, it'll require a miracle port just like Witcher 3 and Doom on Switch. Nobody said those were possible either.
So yeah, there is no proof and no fire I can find yet. Just suffocating, acrid smoke.
And just as we were talking plausible rumors about GTA6, a major website is now reporting Switch 2 is going to get a version of Red Dead Redemption 2. If that doesn't prove Rockstar and Take Two is serious about Switch 2, I don't know what does: https://www.gamereactor.eu/exclusive-red-dead-redemption-2-fo...
Meh. Red Dead Redemption 2 for Switch was leaked years ago. More likely the Switch 1 development was halted and moved to Switch 2. Frankly, I question RDR 2 making it to Switch 2 as well, considering how Nintendo changed their game submission guidelines last year.
There's some...familial lovin' in RDR 2 that goes further than an Angelina Jolie and James Haven-kind of lovin'.
@Magician the switch brand is strong. Word of mouth is big. I think they made the right move with MKW as the launch game. Moms and dads are going to buy the console in droves. The casuals want their Mario Kart. Also take a look at this, which is what I’ve been saying.
@Magician nothing is gospel and we have to see how everything plays out. I would think their analysis is based on something and they are paid by Nintendo to publish this. The point being we’ve seen more positive analysis of the console and launch than negative ones.
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