Gaming Analyst Thinks Zelda: Breath Of The Wild Will Sell 10 Million Nintendo NX Consoles "Pretty Quickly"

That's unusually positive of Pachter. Zelda is a big game and will sell systems, but hopefully Nintendo has other system sellers lined up for launch.

Pachter gets a lot of scorn around here, but he was pretty spot on with his Wii U predictions. Honestly, I think he knows the current market and how it works better than fans on this site. I also think that Nintendo games started losing that magical Nintendo touch ever since the Wii days. The new Zelda feels like a return to actual Nintendo levels of quality.

I think Nintendo has been quite for s reason. When the wii came out and twilight princess, they both sold crazy. It was a cool new console for everyone to play, but it had an awesome Zelda. Well, breath of the wild might be a dream Zelda game coming on another awesome new console. And I do like my wii u, but I just feel like Nintendo should have released it 2 years before they did. I think they would be in a different spot today if they had... I'm sure they had it done and ready to ship since all the rumors of revolution having a touch screen controller. But wii sales were great so they waited...and it cost them this gen. I will be getting nx day 1 and Zelda for both if there is done kind of deal .

Wait.....he didn't realize Zelda was launching on NX but his job is to analyze video game companies. On top of that he can tell NX will be more powerful then he thought based on Zelda being played on a Wii U at E3.

Seriously......how do these people get these jobs

This is a good time too jump on n play a Zelda game if you haven't for yrs or you are brand new too the Zelda franchise. I still think/hope march will be the launch date for the NX and expect details at TGS (tokyo game show).

For the love of [insert your deity here] PLEASE stop quoting Pachter. Even a broken clock is correct twice a day. Then again he's great clickbait and at least one person here seems to think he's doing more than making non-emotional guesses.

I am ashamed that you still quote Patcher. You disappoint me, Nintendo Life. But hey, you quote Emily Rogers as a reliable source so...

Bah.. pretty lazy guesstimations from Pachter.

I think Pachter's whole analytical method is to see what people are excited about on twitter. The reality of the situation is people are generally not amused with the current lukewarm consoles (all three of them), and VR and the .5 versions of consoles aren't being universally welcomed. Nintendo have a new console with a shiny new must have game, rumours of several Wii U key games non Wii U owners haven't been able to play, rumours of a possible hybrid console, and rumours of more appropriate 3rd party support- there's lots of good news to colour Pachter's opinion.

Lets see what Nintendo can do to muck it all up when they announce the thing.

If the headline would have said "Pachter Thinks Zelda: Breath Of The Wild Will Sell 10 Million Nintendo NX Consoles Pretty Quickly" I probably wouldn't have opened this page...

Pacther.

LOL

The new Zelda game is enough reason for me to get the NX version. Cant wait to play this game

Patcherlife returned.

I don't think Nintendo wants to miss the launch of a new system in this fiscal year for them. They want to post those profits for their precious shareholders at the end of it and going into the new fiscal year. March is the most likely launch date for that reason alone.

Pachter though... 😒

"I actually did not realise that Zelda was launching on NX when NX launches. That makes me think NX is much more higher powered than I expected"

So he thought the NX was going to be less powerful than the Wii U? This guy really hasn't thought about it much before opening his mouth.

Based on nothing! I can make predictions like that!

The game looks awesome and could become the best selling Zelda game of recent years, but 10 milion copies, where do you get those numbers mister Pachter?

Based on the look of the game Patcher can conclude that the NX is as powerful as the ps4?.. Ha! The game is running on the wii u atm so how is it that he can conclude that.. Does he even know about tech?

'I think probably only Wii U owners will buy Zelda, but I think everybody who buys an NX will absolutely buy it'

What? I don't understand this sentence.
Also, I don't understand how Zelda BOTW, (a Wii U game) being on NX, tells him NX will be a high-spec system...?

@CB85 Yeah, I think he means that the Wii U install base being so small, Zelda BOTW would only be available to a limited number of people if it were only Wii U. The fact that it's NX bound too means that he thinks that the game will sell much better due to that system's attractiveness as a purchase.

It's a clear problem for an analyst to make such confusingly nebulous comments. Those comments are also a truism once translated/deciphered; it's not difficult to imgaine a game on two systems selling more than a game on one system, especially if one of those systems is desirable in its own right, thereby creating a larger install base.

@CB85 what I think he meant but did not say clearly is that people that already own Wii U will buy the game, but it will not sell Wii U systems. However he sees the game as a driver of NX hardware.

"Gaming analyst", lol. They knew writing "Michael Pachter" would make people shrug and not click, so better hide that after the jump.

What he says makes no sense whatsoever, by the way. Seeing Breath of the Wild running on Wii U makes him think NX is more powerful than PS4?! Hilarious.

Things is, there is no way to predict. Until we know the launch line up, the hardware, the gimmicks etc. Only then we will know if it will sell big

I'm not interested enough to see what question(s) led to these exact responses, but nonetheless:

"Zelda looks amazing. Something I missed… I actually did not realise that Zelda was launching on NX when NX launches. That makes me think NX is much more higher powered than I expected, that NX is an iteration probably closer to PS4 than I thought it would be, and it's going to have a big title to support it."

It's... also launching on Wii U; that doesn't make the Wii U somehow close in power to the PS4. They only showed Wii U footage. So...... yeah.....

"I think probably only Wii U owners will buy Zelda, but I think everybody who buys an NX will absolutely buy it, and I think it will sell them 10 million consoles pretty quickly. Zelda looked great. I mean, it really looks like a good game."

WHAT DOES THAT EVEN MEAN??? So, only Wii U owners will buy it...... but NX owners will also buy it, absolutely. So..... people with the necessary hardware to buy it, will buy it? I guess that checks out; I can't imagine folks with just a PS4 getting it.

Pachter tends to get a lot of heat, but these have to be some of the dumbest quotes I've ever seen. Maybe in context they make more sense, but wow. He seems to have literally no idea what he's talking about on both counts.

positive thoughts from patcher? Nintendo's doomed the end is nigh!

seriously though how did he not know Zelda was coming to NX

"I think probably only Wii U owners will buy Zelda, but I think everybody who buys an NX will absolutely buy it"
-Michael Pachter, 2016

@BlatantlyHeroic While he's right on he claims in his own statement not to know that Breath of the Wild "Zelda" was coming to NX. He also states that it's as powerful as PS4 (speculation), and that it will sell NX consoles. While I'm sure it will sell NX consoles, it won't be for the reasons I'm sure he is assuming. He is likely assuming the NX version will be better graphically, which Nintendo has stated it will be a port. The fact that it's a port will likely drive many sales on the Wii U but it will likely take more than a port to push 10 million NX sales. Other launch titles like Smash, Mario Kart, Splatoon, or Mario would be needed to push those sales numbers at launch.

Nintendo really has no excuse for the NX not to be great. Clearly they realized Wii U wasn't doing well pretty early on, and as such they sacrificed working harder on it to make a better NX. Many unannounced titles were supposedly pushed to NX which were originally going to be on Wii U. So all these release droughts on Wii U should mean that NX is going to be awesome right out of the gate, whether or not Zelda is a big part of the reason. NX will do better than Wii U. I mean it has to. But how much better is my question.

I’m guessing they’re still closely watching Scorpio and Neo before they reveal any info for NX. Last minute hardware revisions I guess basing on that.

I read the first line and had to comment already. Patcher? I'm so happy today I'm feeling amused by him lol

I think the moon is made of cheese ...... no really.

@Gerbwmu go back and look at all his past predictions for Wii U now that they've come to fruition.

@MarioPhD I completely agree. The guys is talking like he's got a mouth full of marbles.

If the system doesn't release March 2017, than HOLIDAY 2017 is he's perdition.

Well Nintendoomed

2017 will be the year of hardware. NX will likely miss it March, but I think it'll be the first new console of the year. PlayStation have to worry about PSVR's release, so its unlikely PS4Neo will be released this year. But I do think it will come late summer 2017. And of course Xbox will release their Xbox One Scorpio in late 2017. 2017 - ITS THE YEAR OF CONSOLES BABY!

@gatorboi352 - he has been right at times about Wii U and his overall prediction of its struggles have been accurate. But he throws out a ton of "Gaming industry advice".

His comments here make no sense, show a lack of knowledge for an industry he is suppose to be an expert in, and he wouldn't be my employee very long if I was counting on his advice and this is what he brings to the table. My opinion, but I expect better out of the people I place my trust in. Feel free to invest heavily into Nintendo since he promised 10 million sales for NX and Zelda though. I'm sure next week he will complain about something with NX and spell out its doom.

I'm sorry, but the game itself won't sell 10 million copies. What makes you think it will sell 10 million systems?

The combined sales of the GCN and Wii versions of Twilight Princess didn't reach 10 million. I find it very difficult to believe that the combined sales of the Wii U and NX versions of BotW will reach 10 million.

Well, having read these comments, it's pretty clear. Pachter's company should fire him and replace him with NintendoLife commentators.

Probably the most ludicrous thing Pachter has ever said.

"Zelda BOTW looks amazing on Wii U and is coming to the NX, thus the NX must similar or better than the PS4 in hardware specs and will."

Talk about jumping to conclusions.

If there is any one Zelda game that could reach 10 million copies sold, it's this one. But this one game isn't going to push 10 million units of NX hardware sales. No single game can, unless it becomes the next Wii Fit or Brain Age (aka a full blown cultural phenomenon).

I think that NX is such a game changer that reveal earlier than needed would make Sony and MS change their ways, to topple the new hardware from Nintendo.
So I'll pray to NX be something huge and great.

@westman98 It broke social media. It was more talked about than the next 4 popular games combined. So, there is a very real chance this game will be a console seller.

"Pachter cites the E3 no-show as evidence that the system is simply not going to be ready in time"
I totally disagree... I think it's a smart move. If they are making a new console with a new concept why show it so soon to your competitors?!
Why does everything need to be show at E3?!!!

@GrailUK
That's why I think BotW could be the first Zelda to sell 10 million copies. But I highly, highly doubt the game alone could single-handedly push 10 million units of NX hardware sales in a brief time frame.

It's Pachter, so the console will probably bomb. I love how little clickbaity this news story is with "gaming analsyst" without mentioning his name all of the sudden in the title.

So how's that "consoles will be gone in 2009" going?

@Dr_Corndog - that made me laugh......and I should shut up with my Patcher comments

It's hard to take Pachter seriously if he didn't even know Zelda was releasing on NX. I didn't need to 'analyse' anything to realise that.

Also, the fact that Nintendo didn't show NX at E3 absolutely does not suggest that it won't be ready for March. It's far more plausible that Nintendo are simply endorsing the Wii U in order to keep software sales ticking over for the next 9 months.

I think a lot of us are putting more stock in BotW than we should. The best selling Zelda game (OoT) sold only 7.6 million units. Now, that's still very impressive and it's a testament to how great of a game OoT was, but to say that BotW, after seeing, according to Nintendo themselves, only about 2% of the final game, will manage to sell 10 million new hardware systems is, well, foolishly optimistic at best and simply an ignorant stab in the dark at worst. I hope the NX will be a success, and I believe it will do well unless Nintendo completely messes up like they did with the Wii U, but I struggle to see how BotW will manage to convince 10 million people to shell out hundreds of dollars, pounds, euros, yen, or whatever their local currency is for one game when the best selling game in the series, and one of the best games of all time, only barely cracked 7.6 mil.
(I also fail to see the logic behind Pachter's statements. "Zelda is coming to NX at launch therefore the NX will be close to PS4 in terms of power." Huh? Talk about a non sequitur...)

@BlatantlyHeroic I think you are selling Nintendo short on the quality of its previous endeavors.

Mario Galaxy was top notch quality. That's a wii title. The wii had a handful of pretty good first party titles.

But Splatoon and SSB for wii u Was a huuuuuggggeeee sign that Nintendo has not lost it one bit.

You can't hit a homerun every time. But Nintendo games have not went down in quality overall. They may of had a bad showing here or there (i.e. Mario party 10, animal crossing amiibo festival) but not enough bad showings to signal an overall loss of quality.

@crimsontadpoles Actually I watch his new show, Pacter Factor, on youtube and he's quick positive about Nintendo nowadays. He just seemed to really despise the Wii U. It almost seemed like a phase for him

March reeks of a placeholder date to appease shareholders that something is coming this FY. as much as I'd love it to launch then, Patcher is likely correct. and once they miss this FY it could easily slip to later than summer, likely q3 or 4.

if we see something in the next few months it could still be on, but i doubt it.

@CB85 he's saying he doesn't see Zelda selling Wii Us, but that it will sell NXs.
It was worded a little strangely, but it is Pachter.
For what it's worth, and based on the release window, I think he's spot on.
Were the Wii U version to ship for this holiday season, it would sell way more systems.
Now, if the rumored price cut to 179$ USD, with the Zelda bundle, is in fact coming, then Zelda could be what Nintendo needs to clear stock. They do still need to clear around 2 million units before NX's launch, so I'll be waiting to see whether our distro even invests in NX stock.

If Nintendo made MICHAEL PACHTER hyped for the game, you know it's gonna be good.

Lol he was to affraid to say it will or won't launch in march 2017. Such great investment advice. Its like saying the market could go up and it could go down...lol

Oh Nintendo will definitely sell a whopping 10m copies. I'll definitely buy the new Zelda for the NX too. My only problem is buying the NX just for one decent game. With no new Metroid or F-Zero around and perhaps in the future, I'm just relying on this new Zelda to be packed full of adventure (as always)

As many have observed, why does Pachter get type? I don't get it?

I was disinclined to buy an NX, and get BoTW for my Wii U, but now I'm reconsidering. Obviously we'll have to see what the hey the thing will be.

Why would people buy a new system just to play on game? A game that's ported from the last generation (when NX is released) to the current one?

Nintendo NX needs these things to blow people away.
First is this game (zelda) But that is not enough.
They need to anounce that Final Fantasy 7 (with cloud) Is coming to the NX.
The new Sonic Game for NX with a big reveal.
A New Awesome Megaman game.
Anounce and reveal a new mario.
Metroid Prime, with Multiplayer madness.
A Reveal for a new Starfox with breathtaking graphics.
A New Xenoblade Chronicles.
Kid Icarus for the NX
Also, Pokemon Adventure with the battle system of Pokken.
Even more is a new Naruto Game.

Those games (and more) are System sellers, make the people in love with Nintendo Games like with Zelda Breath of the wild.

Now its time for nintendo to go all out. Holding nothing back.

@CB85 absolutly agree with what you have said!