Topic: The Nintendo Switch Thread

@JaxonH Wait, there's a Direct coming? I checked Nintendo Life's home page, as well as Nintendo's YouTube channel and Nintendo Everything, but I don't see anything.

@MarioLover92
I got played for a fool by one of those stupid fake NoA accounts.

Man I hate the internet sometimes

@JaxonH Ohhh, one of those, huh? Yeah, those suck. Makes me glad that I don't use Twitter anymore, and that I really make sure that it's an official announcement.

A few more hours and we'll hear if there is one on Wednesday. That's the current best guess. Plus it has been that exact Wednesday the last 2 years.

Switch at 140 million sold (139.6 or something). Only 15m from the all time record.

YeP its def going to hit that milestone

@JaxonH

Yes, let us look as the numbers. 13.74m Switches sold from April to December, short of the 15.5m Nintendo projected, but we still don't know what the numbers from January to March will be.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2024/240206e.pdf

[OT]

Are we so sure NG Switch is due this year? I mean...Switch is still selling like hotcakes.

@Magician
They revised their forecast to increase projection. Switch will sell 15.5 (edit: had wrong number, not sure where I got 16.9 from) million past year, and reach just over 141m by March 2024.

Yes, 100% sure Switch 2 is releasing this year. For further evidence, look no further than the president's statements, and lack of statements

"Switch will be our main business HEADING INTO 2024". Not "throughout all of 2024"

And unlike every other year when we hear, "no new hardware this fiscal year", that statement was conspicuously absent this time. Wonder why 😉

But ya, even with Switch 2 dampening Switch sales, it'll crack 150m by March 2025. At which point it can waltz blindfolded over the finish line. It hasn't even received a price drop yet, and will sell for years into the Switch 2 lifespan. Once we have a $99 Lite and $199 base model on shelves over a holiday season, it's gonna go on a tear doing massive damage.

Switch will cross 160m by the end of its run, and should crack the record by end of next year.

edit: It's also worth noting that, at 1.2 billion software sales, Switch may top the combined software sales of Wii and DS, which is 1.5 billion. If so that would be even more impressive, imo.

If you have Amazon Prime you can get ArmorX Pro for $41.99 instead of $70.

It attaches to your Xbox Series controller to add rear buttons and gyro aiming, which can work for any game since it maps to right stick. Not as good as true mouse gyro but it's what XIM Nexus does. Except Nexus has smart translators that unscramble the curve mapped to analog to transform it into a 1:1 like mouse, so it FEELS as good if not better than mouse gyro in many games.

But this ALSO comes with an app to adjust the curve of the analog. Not as robust as Nexus app but, for $42 I'd say you're getting more than your money's worth.

It also let's the gyro work NATIVELY on Switch and PC, so you can use an Xbox Series controller for Splatoon with true mouse gyro just like the Switch controllers. That's awesome

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0B91WQK8B?psc=1&smid=A2PAZV6RV...

Here's a robust review

@Magician I'm leaning towards March 2025 given Nintendo's comments.

I'm leaning towards late 2024 given their comments. They basically only said the very start of fiscal year 2024 will still be Switch 1. It certainly doesn't seem like they want to announce anything particularly soon either way.

I don't see why they would announce it too far in advance. I mean hell, momentum is still really strong, give it a 4-6 month build up.

If they do what Sony did with the PS4 for instance, and start talking PS5 over a year out, sales fell off a cliff and thats a generous way of describing it. From the great momentum of 2018 and 2019 to a million or two per quarter.

@Haruki_NLI
Exactly.

June announcement. Fall release (Sept?), possibly November.

90 days lead time is plenty. We already understand the concept. Early adopters pay attention 24/7 and by the time holidays are over, it'll have been out for months with word of mouth spreading

trying to do some XP grinding in kasual online for mortal kombat 1 with people i know from a facebook group.

but some other person is being stubborn and annoying me where theyre not standing still where they dont understand that you get XP points more from doing combos along with full health bar and doing a brutality. Ive been doing that since last month or so.

taking turns winning a match then the other person takes their turn yada yada. thats how XP is rained much quicker

@Rambler Interesting that it wasn't actually discontinued until January 2013. So that's another nine months in production after the official sales figures ended, which was before the PS4 launched. I suppose it's possible it could have sold another 3 million in that time combined with remaining stock in the following years, but does seem a bit unlikely.

@JaxonH That's how I'd do it.

Announce in the Summer launch it September like the Lite and OLED get the early adopters in, build up supply for the holidays and into 2025 while cutting the price of the Switch for the first time ever over the holidays to both clear through and run at the PS2.

Nintendo has stated they will overcome the chalenges of a generational transition with unique proposition

https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/nintendo-says-it-wil...

Nintendo switch sucessor could be revealed in march

https://gamerant.com/rumor-nintendo-switch-2-reveal-march-2024/

The March rumour is kind of contingent on the February direct rumours. If we get a direct next week and it is a partner only direct so doesn't say anything about new Nintendo games this year, that will definitely be evidence for the idea that they will announce Switch 2 sooner rather than later. If on the other hand we get a full direct then a) the potential leakers were wrong so why would we trust the March date and b) that will fill in the schedule for a few months so Switch 2 announcement could easily be later.

Regardless, I'm sure there will be a ton more claims about Switch 2 timelines after the next week direct does or doesn't happen.

@FishyS
I think you're right but I think there's potentially room for it being a bit fuzzier than that. For example if they have a February Direct that's not explicitly a partner direct but it's clear it's mostly just "clearing the decks"? For example here's a Metroid Prime 2 remastered shadow drop, here's some NSO stuff, here's some more detail on Peach etc. Even if they drop something entirely new but light, like a new Rhythm Heaven for Switch. I think that still opens up space for a Switch 2 reveal in March

But if they start going all "we're doing Wind Waker HD this year" or "first look at Metroid Prime 4" then.... I think we would need to start seriously re-evaluating our timelines. Because if the Switch 2 reveal is in March they'll be wanting to talk about how these games exist across both and are potentially better on Switch 2. Even if they happen to launch before the Switch 2 is out

Also, I think there's two other possibilities that still leave the door open for a March reveal without a "February Partner Direct". If there's nothing in February at all then obviously the February Direct can't step on its toes. Secondly.... I think there's non-zero chance that a February Direct could include an announcement of the reveal of the Switch 2 highlighting the Switch end of that equation

Basically, I think there's a chance that at some point in the February Direct we get something like: "we are currently working on a successor for the Nintendo Switch, the Switch [redacted] to be released in 2024, this new hardware will be backwards with existing Switch titles including (free?) upgrades to enhanced versions of select Switch titles. Please stay tuned next month for a special Switch [redacted] Direct". If they did that it'd allow them to talk about Switch compatible titles deep into 2024 without sniping the reason why it's worth getting the new hardware

I don't think they will.... but it's possible...