@Grumblevolcano I understand that it causes delays, but it mostly applies to short term deadlines I think. By now most developers are working from home, so development can continue without too much delay. I don't think it will cause a 1 to 1.5 year delay.
@Octane An interview with Phil Spencer suggests the longer term stuff is going to be more affected like early 2021 onwards. 2020 being slow on the Nintendo front is probably more a result of Nintendo original plans for 2020.
@Grumblevolcano Unless this lockdown lasts another year (which it won't), and unless Nintendo can't work from home, I don't see how it will result in year-long delays. A few weeks/months at most realistically.
@Octane The point Phil Spencer was getting across is some important parts of video game production things can't be done at home so those things get delayed until this is over.
@Grumblevolcano What parts can't be done at home? The emergency measures have been lifted in most parts of Japan as of today; [...] so it's possible that Nintendo HQ is starting up soon as well. So even if they did absolutely nothing during that time, we're looking at a 2-3 month delay at most.
@Octane Kyoto is one of eight administrative divisions where the state of the emergency has yet to be lifted.
The other areas still declared as being under a state of emergency are are Hyogo and Osaka (both bordering Kyoto), as well as Tokyo, Chiba, Saitama, Kanagawa (surrounding the capital), and Hokkaido (which, being a large region with cases concentrated in the built-up west is seeing varying degrees of restrictions depending on location).
Even when the 'state of emergency' starts being lifted, it won't be straight back to normal .... For awhile, it'll still be the case that having an office full of people won't be a good idea
@BruceCM Of course, but it's a sign that things are started to go back to normal. An average delay of 1 to 1.5 years for a game only happens if they actually don't go to work for more than a year, and don't work at home either. Which I find hard to believe. It would be weird if other companies manage to release games anyway, on top of releasing two new systems this year, and Nintendo just delays everything for a year because of the virus...
On the other hand, though, @Octane, games do get delayed for any number of other reasons, as well ..... I'm just saying not to get too hopeful, then we might be pleasantly surprised
I think anyone with kids at home during lockdown could understand that productivity while 'working at home' does not reach normal levels, and often is totally disrupted. Keeping your family on an even keel emotionally and mentally, to most sensible people, is likely the priority, so if that means writing off an afternoon's work to play with the kids, go for a walk etc. then that is what is happening. That's certainly the case from my perspective and my employer has made it very clear that my priority is my own welfare and that of my family, with no expectations set about how much work I can get done or how much time I can clock. I recognise all employers are not as supportive as this, but every employer is faced with the reality that employees with kids off school are in tricky situations.
This pandemic is doing more than just relocating where people work. It's affecting how they work, how much work they can get done, how they feel about their work (motivation and goals etc).
Collaborative projects can still happen remotely, but it will inevitably be slower and a bit harder.
@Octane I believe the option of Kyoto being included in the regions was being discussed in the lead up to the decision, but it was ultimately decided it would be premature (perhaps because it’s a major population hub adjacent to two of the country’s worst affected regions (Osaka and Hyogo)). I can’t find the source for where I read that but I’m pretty sure that I did, so the error wasn’t without justification.
Incidentally, I’m not really arguing against your wider point; just indulging in some fact checking on a finer scale.
I really don’t know how big the knock on effect of all this will be, and I imagine even people closer the centre of the matter aren’t exactly sure. The national picture changes on almost a daily basis, and has been doing so since as far back as February (when we saw the first school closures). I don’t really envy anyone trying to make predictions amidst all this.
No way. They're not going to show it three years in advance. They've been working on it since 2017. Either this year or early 2021.
When was “Zelda 64” first shown and when did it appear?
That franchise has a long history of games taking far longer than originally envisioned. I wouldn’t be surprised if their ambitions have grown dramatically as they’ve made the game.
2020 isn’t going to be a great year for Nintendo.
I’m expecting Pokemon let’s go Togapei & Switch Fit Adventure 2 alongside some good ports like Mario 3D World & possibly something else like Pikmin 3. Bayonetta 3 hasn’t been shown at all yet - that one seems the most likely to suddenly appear for a winter 2020 launch. That looks like the limits of their ambition just now.
Hopefully there will be some big original concepts in 2021 & 2022 alongside the big anchors of Zelda and Metroid.
@StuTwo You expecting a sequel to Ring Fit when the first continues selling so well they can’t keep up with demand? I think it’ll be a single game for the entirety of the Switch life cycle like a fair few other games. Also don’t expect any new Pokemon games this year when they’re releasing DLC for Sword and Shield.
I agree its going to be a quiet year all around with maybe a port or two and that’s it. With 2 new systems on the horizon, I think it makes sense to let them keep the spotlight and then come back strong next year when the other two are going through the traditional year one drought.
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@Octane yeah but life has continually prepared for disappointment!
I think they just don’t have the development pipeline to be making enough AAA games to release more than 1 a year.
Hopefully their recruitment at Monolith and Retro will eventually change that slightly but I think we’re not going to see any monster hit.
@FragRed I do expect a Ring Fit sequel on Switch. It’s such a unique game selling to a specific audience. It’s the type of audience that buys Just Dance every year and an asset flip sequel would be so easy to make but sell to a lot of people (and would easily replace the original on store shelves).
If there’s not a new Pokemon game then a “game of the year” box on shelves is something I could see The Pokemon Company doing.
I suspect that Nintendo originally had Metroid Prime 4 or something from Retro pencilled in for this year but we know how that turned out.
@StuTwo I doubt it. It's far more likely Ring Fit Adventure will see a substantial DLC pack than a second release thanks to the pack-in hardware. And Pokemon is right out of the question, they aren't going to let anything distract from the season pass.
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