When Nintendo issued its most recent financial reports it stuck rigidly to an estimate that it'll ship 10 million Switch units this financial year. There's little doubt among various analysts - and anyone with common sense - that Nintendo could sell more than that, but there have been question marks over logistical issues with manufacturing; basically, whether Nintendo can source the parts to make more units.
Nintendo has, however, made it clear that it's been looking to increase manufacturing to meet demand, so various unofficial estimates reckon it's only a matter of time before Nintendo confirms a higher target. Now Digitimes has weighed in, citing "sources from the upstream supply chain" that Nintendo is now producing two million units a month, and therefore hoping to hit 20 million shipped systems for the year. It also claims the Switch could arrive in China as soon as 'early 2018'.
Digitimes has a mixed record in its reports, on some occasions getting pretty close to the money and on other occasions being somewhat off the mark. Of course this isn't the first report that Nintendo's set to shift more units than its conservative official estimates, with analyst predictions in recent months varying from 12 million up to that 20 million figure.
We should have a good idea of where things officially stand in a few weeks with Nintendo's next financial reports on 30th October. We'll be surprised if the projection for Switch hardware shipments doesn't climb, though doubling previous estimates to 20 million seems fanciful.
Whatever the reality it's clear the Switch is enjoying strong momentum at present; the more units that Nintendo can get to stores, the better.
Thanks to all that sent this in.
[source digitimes.com]
Comments 66
Nice :U
I really hope they have enough to meet demand by holiday season. I'm excited to see how Nintendo does this year for Christmas.
I think they've clearly already upped production, to what levels though I'm not certain. 2 million a month would be big.
So...approaching Gamcube ltd in year one? Crazy!
Well either the demand has slowed (which I doubt) or they have increased their production quite a bit. I’ve seen Switches in varying colors and bundles readily available on Amazon recently (for MSRP). And for the first time, just in these last 2 weeks, have seen the Switch available on Store shelves in Target, Best Buy & GameStop here in Ft. Lauderdale, FL
Well Amazon here in the states has all 3 version up for sale for the past week in the top 10 and not sold out yet. So they did something.
That they will sell 20million of it - doubt it. There has really never been a shortage in Europe so that number Won't change,... Not sure japan and US is enough.
If this is true, they will produce more Switches in six months than the amount of units the Wii U sold in its lifetime. This is a good sign.
If this is true it's huge news. Either way more production means more people that get to enjoy the Switch. Which should translate to hopefully even more great games being available to take to class with me.
@GrailUK They have to sell them first.
Wow switch selling two millions a month.
i think this has already happened. There's more switches rotting on store shelves in my area than i care to count.
@SLIGEACH_EIRE Heheh. It's funny coz it's true.
@Banjos_Backpack Everyone knows the Wii U gamepad works with the Wii. The Switch tablet works with the Wii U and vice versa.
@gatorboi352,
There will be always a town or city where the demand is not as much as another.
But on the whole the Nintendo Switch has been tough to get hold of in many areas.
Now would be the time to up production to 2 million a month. The hits are coming!
It's pretty much set to outdo the Wii U's lifetime sales before the fiscal year is out.
20 million seems lofty but would be amazing.
The Switch has become my favourite Nintendo machine. I'm glad others are enjoying it (well... buying it at least)
I was talking about this in the forum, but I'm seeing Switches available both online and retail now. Nintendo made good on its promise to drastically increase production this year. This bodes well for holiday sales if they can keep production numbers up to satisfy demand.
Work faster minions!!!!! Hey Goomba, break time is over, get back to work!
Digitimes has been harping on this 20 million number for a while, even when the Switch was still the NX.
BTW I've heard that Nintendo's internal goal is to beat their 10 million shipment forecast by 50%, which would imply them wanting to ship 15 million Switches during this fiscal year.
Nintendo has already shipped 2 million Switches during Q1 FY2017. It appears Nintendo will ship 2 - 2.5 million Switches during Q2 FY2017. If what I have heard is correct, this means Nintendo wants to ship 10.5 - 11 million Switches during Q3 + Q4 FY2017.
That's a lot.
Not sure if demand is slowing but my local Walmart has had a single Splatoon bundle in stock for at least the last two weeks. Prior to that I’ve only seen a Switch in stock one other time, the cabinet is usually empty. Perhaps no one wants to buy that bundle. Holidays are coming too so I expect demand to ramp back up before Christmas.
@th3r3ds0x well they did announce a super mario odyssey bundle so that might be why.
Remember though, 1 million of those each month is to supply @JaxonH's private collection
I'm looking at Amazon.com now and they are in stock. Almost bought one, but I want a nice Christmas present this year for myself. 😊
I see a bunch of Splatoon 2 Switch bundles at my local Walmart. Have yet to see a standard gray or neon Switch in there though.
8 To 1 million is possible. With virtual console maybe 15 million.
@gcunit
Hello. My name is Jaxon and I'm a Switchaholic. I just... I really love the sound of a fresh Joycon clicking into the rails.
I think I should be on commission for Nintendo because I'm pretty sure I've earned them at least 20 sales by taking mine into work playing Fifa 18 at dinner time, everyone is amazed by it and can't get enough of it
Fifa is massive in the UK and they all loved the idea of being able to play it any time anywhere and it looks fantastic in table top mode
That seems a very high number. 24 million a year? Nah.
They have to increase supply in time for the new mario. They are touring the US this month to promote the game and it would be insane to do that, yet still not have enough Switches available for people to buy.
All this is totally logical.
@th3r3ds0x : It could depend on the area and market as well. There is a local department store that had a Pokémon Sun 2DS sitting in the cabinet for months. I eventually bought it as a collector's item, but considering that its value had skyrocketed and the unit was already long out of production, you'd think that somebody else would have nabbed it by now.
This particular store is awful when it comes to stocking new releases, hardware and the like, so I don't even bother looking there most of the time.
This Christmas should be interesting.
The only reason I purchased a Switch was for Nintendo games and Exclusive games made for the Switch, as for 3rd party games I will get them on PS4. I own a Wii U and supported 3rd party's there but not this time, with higher prices and nintendo's online.
@edgedino yea could definitely be a factor.
@sillygostly yea this Walmart tends to stock fairly well for the average Walmart, usually a little late on releases. Pretty sure they didn’t even get any of the SNES mini and when it comes to games, if I want them on launch day I go elsewhere.
The Holidays should be a fantastic, fantastic time for the Switch. Odyssey, if it turns out to be good <fingers crossed>, has real potential to open this baby up to new consumers and gamer hold-outs alike. This is not to mention a healthy stable of AAA third-party offerings coming up, including a Switch release for the new Wolfenstein. And those pesky GTA V rumors keep circulating... Pretty cool.
Does anyone have an up to date sales number for the switch globally to date? Is it 8million 6million??
@JaxonH I know you're just being humorous, but in all seriousness do not put the wrist straps on the Joy-cons the wrong way. Took me half an hour to get it off and I'm still shocked I didn't break anything.
@Supadav03 And, Walmart now has the limited Edition Splatoon 2 bundle in! (Or it did yesterday). Even though I got my Switch (FINALLY!) last Sunday when they came back in on Amazon, I ordered the Splatoon 2 bundle for my wife. Should come in Saturday!
I think when other people realize that the Switch is actually available, they'll be sold out again in no time.
@th3r3ds0x I think some may be sitting just because people have gotten tired of looking and not seeing them. I went to my local target for months and they never had one. Then last week they had like 8 of them. When I went back earlier this week, the neon were sold out, but they still had 6 of the others. But, I think if everyone walking into Target knew they had them back in stock, they would be sold that day. But, I could be wrong. I know that as soon as I saw them back on Amazon I snapped mine up. But I'd given up checking amazon, its as from another website I found out they were back.
Even though stock has been getting better I would be shocked if there aren't issues post Mario odyssey and the holiday season
I have flashbacks to Wii launch year when after visiting 5-10 stores my mom left work because bestbuy phoned her and told her they would hold a Wii for her for 10 minutes
This might be believable, I finally saw a Switch (more specifically the Splatoon bundle) in a local Walmart that never had a Switch since launch just this past weekend.
@PanurgeJr
Oh no worries there- I don't use those silly wrist straps. I've got every color Joycon as a set and then some. If/when I do use sideways Joycons I put them in the Surge grip controller shells. Much preferred that way. Do recommend
@SoIDecidedTo yea that’s very true, when something is basically unavailable for 6 months you kinda stop looking.
I know these things are no longer hard to find, at least in my city which is one of the largest cities in the country. When I bought mine I got it on sale for $248 USD (not kidding) and there were 7 sitting on the store shelf including mine, and I was the only one buying at that time. They are in many other stores in my area too. I have never seen anyone actually buying one before either.
And now queue the people saying because they can find it in stock it means the "fanboys" all got one and the hype is over and it's time for Nintendo to go back to failing.
It's coming.
@gatorboi352
The only Rotten thing is your Negative comments.
Geez...
@GrailUK I mean, the Gamecube had two original Zelda games, two Metroid Primes, Luigi's Mansion, two console Pokemon games even, one of the most distinctive Mario Kart & Smashes, and nearly had two Paper Marios before the second one got delayed onto Wii due to the timing.
So the Switch might be nearing the Gamecube's popularity, but it's not even close in other regards.
mario odyssey is going give switch a major boost in sales plus fire emblem warriors coming out as well along nights of azure 2.
I can see xmas bundles with Mario, Zelda, Kart and Splatoon. 3ds will have Ultra S&M Pokemon. Odyssey will already be two months old but Nintendo think that it doesn't matter and it will be the killer title. A Switch Doom special edition would be great.
For the first time since the switches existence , the target I work at has had around 7-8 just laying on the shelf for the past 2 weeks.
Considering there’s a bundle incoming, Christmas is around the corner and the star Nintendo title of the year is coming this month, I wouldn’t be surprised that they stepped up production.
Thing is selling out in Japan in hours, and while anecdotal, I’ve seen interest in the console go up around here the closer we are to Odyssey’s release.
@mowerdude Splinter cell blacklist was great on Wii u, I'm sure some others were too but most looked way to bad or had a terrible frame rate
@Haru17
"and nearly had two Paper Marios"
So, it had one Paper Mario then? 😉
To be fair you've just listed games from across the GameCubes 5-year plus lifetime. Switch has been out 7 months.
This is really good news! Nintendo's putting more chips on the line with this stock increase, and I'm optimistic that it will pay off come holiday season.
More units sold means more developers will be enticed to make games for the console. Fingers crossed for Monster Hunter.
@electrolite77 And the Switch isn't approaching Gamecube's quality or breadth of content in the first year.
My point about Super Paper Mario is that it was Gamecube carryover development, as in Nintendo's output was healthy and creative under the Gamecube brand.
@Haru17
The Gamecube did not get any mainline Pokemon games. The Switch will get one in 2018/2019, with more presumably to come later given that no past Nintendo handheld has ever received less than 3 mainline Pokemon entries.
I don't understand why you are comparing the Switch's Year 1 first party lineup to the Gamecube's entire first party lineup during its entire 5-6 year lifetime. Nintendo will announce and release plenty of Switch games after 2017 and 2018.
Easy. Release even a Pokemon port and you'll have zero stock for months. 20 mil will be achieved with interest. Pokemon is a very big franchise and Nintendo doesn't even realise that...
@Haru17 I have a feeling that Nintendo will keep making games for the Switch. Perhaps as many as were made for gamecube.
@Haru17 Give it chance! It's barely six months old lol.
@Haru17
But you didn't list games from the GameCubes first year. You listed games from the GameCubes life. Do an accurate comparison.
The Switch in its first 10 months (up to the end of 2017) will get from Nintendo Zelda BOTW, Mario Odyssey, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Pokken DX, 12 Switch, ARMS, Flip Wars, Snipperclips, Splatoon 2, Fire Emblem Warriors and Xenoblade 2. They also facilitated Mario V Rabbids as a third-party exclusive and are publishing it in Japan. It currently has over 100 games and probably 150 by the end of the year.
GameCube launched September 14 2001. In its first 10 months Nintendo released Luigi's Mansion, Wave Race BS, Pikmin, Smash Bros Melee, NBA Courtside 2002, Eternal Darkness, Mario Sunshine, and if you spoke Japanese, Animal Crossing and Doshin the Giant.
You listed "two original Zelda games, two Metroid Primes, Luigi's Mansion, two console Pokemon games even, one of the most distinctive Mario Kart & Smashes, and nearly had two Paper Marios". Given that it took the GameCube 5 years to get all of them except two, it's only fair to see where Switch is after 5 years before criticising it for not matching that list.
@Heavyarms55 I can't think who you might be referring to. Swear I saw someone on here who admitted he wanders round stores looking at Switch stock even though he's not even interested in buying it and wants it to fail. A bit like a vegetarian hanging around a meat counter really.
Well, my local Tesco has recently doubled the shelf space they've dedicated to Switch and started selling a wider range of games and accessories. If that isn't a good sign, I don't know what is.
@WiltonRoots There's a whole bunch of people who want Nintendo to fail and become a 3rd party company for Sony and Microsoft. Tons of people have been saying things like "Once the die hard fanboys have gotten their Switches the sales will drop off and like the Wii U the Switch will fizzle away".
@GrailUK Read my post before you jump into the conversation misinformed. I was correcting someone who asserted that the Switch was approaching the depth and breadth of the Gamecube's library — it flatly isn't. Besides Metroid Prime we have little idea of what the future of the system will be.
@Haru17 Erm...it's customary to reply to someone when they address you! Hahah. You are a weird soul.
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