@Grumblevolcano Apologies, I got a bit confused but I understand what you’re saying now. I’m not sure Nintendo would announce a new revision 8 to 9 months prior to launch, especially at a time when your current hardware is still selling incredibly strong. Feel they also won’t want to cannibalise that lucrative holiday season. I think your first suggestion is most accurate that they’ll announce it in January and get it out the door 2 months later in March.
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@Ralizah probably should just stop buying games until you finish the ones you already have. Otherwise you’re just wasting money because the backlog keeps getting bigger and unless games cease to exist you’ll never catch up on them. But that’s my take. Enjoy spending your money however you choose.
I think they'll say something about the New Nintendo Switch by the end of the summer and try to have it out for the holidays. A March 2022 anniversary release does inspire warm and cuddly feelings, but the siren's song of holiday sales is what motivates companies, and I do think Switch sales are gonna start to slow down in the last half of 2021 if we hear nothing about it. PS5 and Xbox shortages will start to go away, and those consoles will be positioning for very strong holiday sales. Nintendo will want to have their new hardware for that time.
@rallydefault The key thing that makes me think March 2022 is more likely than holiday 2021 is software. Nintendo learned from the Wii U that strong software lineup drives strong hardware sales and I don't think BotW 2 will be ready for holiday 2021. Also the big Pokemon game is launching early 2022, Splatoon 3 is launching in 2022, etc.
Sony and Microsoft are experiencing rough lineups. GT7's delayed to 2022, God of War sequel is likely 2022, Horizon Forbidden West is probably the big holiday game but is also launching on PS4. Meanwhile Xbox has very little outside of Halo Infinite which is crossgen and PC. Even the rumoured Bethesda event for Thursday is supposedly just going to announce existing games for Game Pass.
So I think Zelda ports, the Pokemon remakes, a few other surprises and 3rd party support would be enough for Nintendo keeping up for August - December. I could see them announcing the new Switch in June/July for release in March 2022 though for the 3rd party side (the rumours suggest there's exclusives to the new model and those will almost certainly be 3rd party multiplats that can't run on the base Switch).
@Grumblevolcano
Yea, I agree, that's the big question: Is Nintendo really trying to get BotW2 for holiday 2021 or are they gonna just do 2022.
If the other consoles aren't going to have any blockbusters this holiday, maybe Nintendo will be more content to just let 2022 roll around and they won't experience much slip in Switch sales.
Do we know of any big releases for Switch in 2021 after Skyward Sword HD and the Pokemon remakes in the summer? (I think Pokemon was the summer, right?)
Edit: Looked it up, "late" 2021. So I guess that could be the big holiday title if nothing else?
New demo this Thursday should be just enough to hold me over. Only two more Fridays of living in a world where Monster Hunter Rise doesn't exist!
Psalms 22:16 (1,000 yrs before Christ)
They pierced My hands and feet
Isaiah 53:5 (700 yrs before Christ)
He was pierced for our transgressions
Zachariah 12:10 (500 yrs before Christ)
They will look on Me whom they pierced
@rallydefault, No More Heroes III in August, and as far as I know they never mentioned summer in relation to the Pokemon remakes, so they'll likely be holiday games (probably November).
Currently Playing:
Switch - Blade Strangers
PS4 - Kingdom Hearts III, Tetris Effect (VR)
@Grumblevolcano I get your logic here but I think there is a flaw.
Software does sell consoles and it seems like Nintendo might have a stronger 2022 line up than 2021. But - and it’s a big but - the games that will sell a “Switch Pro” are MK8DX and Smash - stuff that’s already out.
Also you have to think about the optics to customers - weeks after millions have just bought a shiny new toy “suckers there’s a new, better, one out next month!”. It’s not good PR - or good for building a user base for a console revision that might have exclusive games one day. Get millions on board ASAP.
I still think it’s possible that they’ll do a slightly soft launch of a 3.0. It’ll be more visible than the 2.0 revision (literally if they go with a different screen) and a bigger deal but I don't think they need any showcase software to sell that. In which case Christmas 2021 is a good time to launch.
@StuTwo
That is a very good point - you wouldn't want people buying up Switches over the holidays to only then drop a "better" one just a couple months later. That would certainly tick me off. And if you'd head that off by announcing the New Nintendo Switch a couple months early, then you're gonna willfully repress your own hardware sales for the holiday season, which is totally bonkers for any company to do. I really think they're gonna try to get it out for the holiday, even if some of the games that will really use it won't be coming until a couple months later. Really, I think Nintendo is pushing to try and have BotW2 for the holiday, but we'll see.
@RR529
Gotcha. There could also be stuff we don't know about yet, I suppose.
One thing to keep in mind is Covid’s impact, and how that may affect plans.
Another thing to consider is the fact that we may be hearing leaks about two different potential products and confusing the two. I’m not saying that’s what I personally believe, but I do think it’s something to at least keep in the back of our minds as a possibility.
For example. Perhaps Nintendo’s next gen Switch is going to be a 2024 release, which means final chip design would need to be finished by March 2023 at the latest, which means they’re looking into the specs now and deciding what they want to go with.
And perhaps, just maybe, bit perhaps, some of the leaks such as “ Nintendo has told developers to get their games 4K ready“ was pertaining to their next gen system, but since they are doing an upgraded revision late 2021 or early 2022 with OLED and slightly more powerful Mariko, some sites confuse the two as being one and the same, and incorrectly report the 4k as being for the revision, instead of something for the Switch 2.
I don’t really assign much probability to this particular scenario, but I would give it at least a 10-15% chance. At the very least, it would make more sense given the fact 4K output on a hybrid NEEDS DLSS, and DLSS NEEDS a new chip, and a new chip with new architecture makes more sense for next generation hardware. Or, it’s possible the 4K simply refers to signal capability and built in upscaling just outputs the signal as 4k to be a little more clear, rather than actually render a 4K image with DLSS. That would be incredibly disappointing, but that’s why I think we should at least take the possibility into account so that in the unlikely scenario that is how things play out, we’ll have at least already accounted for it.
Monster Hunter Stories 2 is looking so good, I almost can’t find the words to describe this overwhelming sensation of blissful excitement. Not only are we getting Monster Hunter Rise, which looks like the best video game I’ve ever laid eyes upon, we’re getting a dope spinoff with gorgeous artstyle, as an RPG Pokémon style adventure, but with a more interesting plot, characters, and monsters.
And amiibo! We’re getting more amiibo!
Psalms 22:16 (1,000 yrs before Christ)
They pierced My hands and feet
Isaiah 53:5 (700 yrs before Christ)
He was pierced for our transgressions
Zachariah 12:10 (500 yrs before Christ)
They will look on Me whom they pierced
Monster hunter rise is definitely looking like game of the year to me (unless somehow the Pokémon remakes have huge amounts of new content since I never played diamond and pearl, or If botw 2 is released). Can’t wait to be able to do some quick little hunts with my friends again in the new demo! And you guys have successfully done it, your thousands of comments of switch pro have now made me a believer, but hopefully Nintendo doesn’t pull a jerk move, and make first party games like Metroid prime 4 exclusive
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