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Fri 17th Jul 2009

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skywake commented on Talking Point: The New Nintendo 3DS is Yet to ...:

"especially if - and it's a big 'if' - the NX hardware has a portable aspect to potentially 'replace' it"

Is it still a "big if" at this point? I mean a few months ago it was 50:50, arguments on both sides. You could have been forgiven for thinking it was 100% a home console based on the way the media talked about it. But now that the leaks are starting to come out. It's surely more likely that it is a portable is it not?

Infact this whole bit about being surprised the New 3DS is just a stop-gap. That the 3DS decline that started before the New 3DS launch has continued. Wasn't this obvious a year ago? I'm pretty sure Nintendo knew this given how they rushed the New 3DS out the door in Japan first. The way they've handled the New 3DS isn't the cause of these troubles, it's them trying to paper over it.



skywake commented on Feature: Five Key Details That May Emerge From...:

For perspective on the Amiibo:
New 3DS (XL) sold: 7.5mill
Wii U's sold: 12.6mill
Amiibo Cards: 21.5mill
Amiibo Figurines: 20.5mill

Excluding the 3DS Amiibo reading puck, 2 Amiibos sold for every piece of hardware that can read it. That's kinda nuts. Needless to say Amiibos are doing well... but I guess we all knew that already!



skywake commented on Video: Five Things We Want From The Nintendo NX:

I honestly don't know why people want optical audio out. Unless you have a fairly old TV you should be able to pass HDMI audio through the optical out on your TV. And unless you have a fairly old receiver everything is going to be handled by HDMI anyways. Same with the people begging for DVD/Blu-Ray playback. This isn't 2006, you don't need it. If you care that much about it odds are you already have the gear. If not, why not?



skywake commented on Video: Five Things We Want From The Nintendo NX:

For both portable and home console possibilities:
5. a decent spec upgrade but not so much that it's unaffordable
4. traditional controls augmented with tilt
3. remote play (either to or from the NX)
2. long battery life (portable or controller)
1. lots of content out of the gate



skywake commented on Video: These Teenagers Show Good Taste and Enj...:

Instead of the 3 I didn't get (and barely any of the teens got) they should have gone for some more iconic/memorable themes. I was expecting to hear Mega Man or Metroid. Chrono Trigger and Final Fantasy would have also been good ones. Too much Nintendo? Why not throw Doom in there?



skywake commented on Video: These Teenagers Show Good Taste and Enj...:

I got 4 which is pretty average I guess. Couldn't for the life of me work out TMNT, MK or NBA Jam. If they had more SNES and Gameboy games I would have done better.

Honestly thought TMNT was some racing game that I should have known. When that kid said F-Zero I thought "no, but"... because it clearly wasn't F-Zero. Gave me kind of Chase HQ vibes.



skywake commented on Video: Everything We Know About Nintendo NX, S...:

The media assumes it's a home console, just because. Yet some of the rumours are about it being a portable system. So how does that work? Oh, it must therefore somehow be both..... or the media is wrong. But the media is never wrong so clearly its both



skywake commented on Nintendo Remains Bullish Around the 3DS and It...:

Well if you talk about the 3DS in terms of America then sure. The 3DS isn't "slowing down" that much in the US especially not compared to 2014 which was a low point for the 3DS globally.

But if you look at where the 3DS has sold the most? About 30% of 3DS hardware and software has been sold in the US. Japan is at 35% for hardware and 40% for software. And sure in Japan the 3DS still dominates.. but it's slowing in Japan faster than anywhere else.



skywake commented on Intriguing Nintendo Patent Points to 'Suppleme...:

Here's a thought. Maybe "the NX" is an ecosystem or products. You can guy the portable one and have the ability to play those games. If you buy the home console one you can play those games either on your TV (via HDMI) or on your portable (via WiFi). Want to play some Wii U/Wii games? Well if you have a Wii U on your network that will work in the same way with just a software update. Games on your PC? No problem, if you have an NX box on your network it'll stream to your PC.



skywake commented on Random: Check Out the Most Expensive Super Mar...:

I can understand people with a lot of money buying an expensive watch. Sure you can get more useful things with that money but you're god-damn loaded. What I don't get is why someone spending that much would get a Mario themed watch.........



skywake commented on Nintendo Expecting Mobile Business To Eclipse ...:

To be fair he didn't say that mobile will be more profitable than Wii and DS. He said that in three years he expects Nintendo as a whole to be more profitable than they were in that era. And between their home console, portable, the success of Amiibo and the potential of mobile? I think it's entirely possible.



skywake commented on Michael Pachter Thinks Miitomo Will Have Troub...:

Yeah, no social apps and games ever work on mobile. Facebook completely owns everything social... if you ignore Snapchat, Periscope, Instagram and social games like Draw Something, Words With Friends and so on. There's plenty of space for something else that tackles it from a different angle.

Plus it's not like Nintendo hasn't played around with this concept before. Look at Streetpass, Pictochat, SwapNote, Everybody Votes and Miiverse. Or games that aren't "games" like Wii Fit, Brain Training, Nintendogs, Mario Paint, Tomodachi Life, Animal Crossing. They have form in this space, you have to give them that.

At this point I'm personally not sure if it'll pay off. I wouldn't write them off though and I certainty think it's a better move than the "all in" approach that people like Pachter wanted.



skywake commented on Nintendo Shares Suffer Major Drop as Investors...:

Yeah, this mobile game isn't about a quick short term return. Their mobile strategy is clearly about making the right moves for the long term. Which includes not devaluing their hardware by releasing poor substitutes for "traditional" games on mobile.

Some people were going to be unhappy whatever the game was. But I'd argue that it is precisely the right sort of game. That said, I still want a mobile version of Advance Wars.



skywake commented on Miitomo, Nintendo's First Smartphone Game, Is ...:

People thinking this is a bad move need to take a good look at what games have done well on mobile. Yes at the very top of the pile is stuff like Angry Birds and Candy Crush. But in that same mix there's stuff like Draw Something and Words With Friends.

A game that's between Tomodachi Life and Streetpass? I can't see how that's a bad idea at all. If they get the balance right it could do pretty well. And if you are worried because you don't understand it? Well what did you expect, if you are commenting on this article the game isn't for you.



skywake commented on Nintendo's New Membership Service Is Called "N...:

People complaining about the name. Because other similar services have such interesting names right? Oh wait, no they don't. They all basically just have their company/service name followed by a word that describes what it is.

Just look at Steam. You have Steam ID, Steam Cloud, Steam Big Picture, Steam In Home Streaming, Steam Guard. Or Apple where it's either i prefixes with iTunes, iPhone, iWatch, iCloud or "Apple" with Apple Music, Apple ID, Apple Pay, Apple TV.

So complain about the uncreative name if you want. But make sure you complain about literally every other name for every other service that exists.



skywake commented on Miitomo, Nintendo's First Smartphone Game, Is ...:

One things for sure, people were going to be complaining about it whatever it was. And quite frankly I'm pretty happy with what this is. Remember that the most popular mobile games are social games that are ongoing but can be played in short bursts. Something along the lines of streetpass is a perfect fit.



skywake commented on Miitomo, Nintendo's First Smartphone Game, Is ...:

Nintendo is going to release smartphone games
"Nintendo is doomed! Nobody will get a 3DS if Mario is on mobile!"

The first Nintendo mobile game will be along the lines of Streetpass
"This isn't the sort of game I wanted! What are Nintendo thinking!"



skywake commented on Nintendo Reports Profits as System Sales Show ...:

Last year 65% of the Wii U's hardware sales were in that half of the year. They're literally just predicting that the same thing will happen again this year. Which isn't an outlandish prediction given that the same thing happens for every gaming console......



skywake commented on Editorial: It's Far Too Soon to Go Download-On...:

I've said this before but I think the comparisons to movies and music are broken. For three main reasons....

1. With music and especially with movies the disks are higher quality. There's literally nothing else that looks as good as a Blu-Ray. With games it's largely the same product and if anything the digital copy runs better.

2. With movies and music there wasn't ever really that much of a used market. Sure it existed but not to the extent that it does for games. Purely because games become "old news" much faster than music or movies do.

3. If you buy a physical copy of a game you're stuck with a physical copy. With movies and in particular with music that's not the case. I still buy CDs but I'm not restricted by that format because I RIP all my music. With games I'm locked into using the disk. .... with the exception of PC gaming where "the disk" is just a different way to acquire the game data.



skywake commented on Editorial: It's Far Too Soon to Go Download-On...:

The only reason I still buy most of my games as a physical release is because of pricing. But even that is something I'll ignore if I think it's a game I'll be playing a lot. Not forgetting that on PC it is already a digital only ecosystem and the sky didn't exactly fall in. If anything on PC the pricing is generally more friendly than it is on consoles. But I'll get to that later.

Going through the list of concerns. I do have a 300GB data cap but most of the time I sit at around 150GB usage. And even though the speed of my line hasn't improved I have gone from a 30GB to a 300GB quota in the last 7 years or so. I'm using far more data now but I think it's fair to say my quota is increasing faster than my usage is.

With the storage concerns? Well if you want to point to that you have to think about what the trends are. 10 years ago I build myself a new PC and put a 120GB HDD in it. Same year I brought a 128GB thumb drive. The HDD was $120AU. This year? You could get a 3TB HDD for $130AU. It's gone from ~$1/GB to ~4c/GB. Have games got bigger? Sure, of course they have. But storage has got cheaper faster. So this isn't an issue.

So the progress of tech makes it inevitable at some point. So in the end it goes back to pricing again. And to be brutally honest? The physical market is fundamentally less profitable for publishers and developers. To which a cynic would whine but remember, less profitable? Lower margins, higher prices. As it is retailers are holding them to ransom. Digital should be cheaper but retailers still own most of the sales so you can understand why they don't price digital competitively. But as soon as they can distance themselves from it without a backlash? They'll do it. Remember, Microsoft did try this. It's only a matter of time before it happens for real.



skywake commented on Nintendo Download: 22nd October (Europe):

I'd be interested in Revelations at this discounted price if I hadn't just got it as part of the latest Humble Bundle. Definitely getting Wild Gunman though. Just because. I mean you have to get that game this week, of all the weeks.



skywake commented on Rumour: Nintendo and DeNA Will Be Revealing th...:

I think what most people are expecting is a "mobile version" of an existing game idea. Like an endless runner Mario or a Advance Wars clone. But they've always been clear that what they're doing on mobile will fit mobile.

So I had always just assumed it was "not what people are expecting"....



skywake commented on This Is The Last Real Console Cycle, Proclaims...:

Unless we go to the cloud, which I think is unlikely for multiple reasons, I don't see how we could move to a world where you don't need to buy hardware. The hardware will get cheaper but it won't go away. A micro-console is still a console.



skywake commented on Man Goes On Quest To Buy Every Single amiibo I...:

I love the "rarity" of some of the common ones like Mario now in Australia. It's just because everyone gets Mario. He appears sometimes and then disappears again while others tend to stay on the shelves a bit longer. Before the stock issue was resolved here you'd only ever see Mario or Pikachu if you saw any at all.



skywake commented on 3DS Can Last For Another Two To Three Years In...:

Well in terms of horsepower the New 3DS has:
1. Quad instead of Dual core CPU
2. Double the memory

.... that's it. I personally don't think the 3DS can live forever. Two years from now is probably about right for how long it could go on. Though I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo cut it shorter.



skywake commented on Dragon Quest XI Is Coming To The Nintendo 3DS ...:

The funny thing about Dragon Quest is that it exists on both portables and non-portables. And because it's most popular in Japan obviously portable versions sell better. So whatever the NX is of course it's coming to the NX.

The Wii U missing out on it? Well that's kinda interesting.... but only because the PS4 is getting it. So are they skipping the Wii U because they don't want to bother with two console ports? That between the Wii U and PS4 they think the PS4 is the safer bet? Possibly. Or maybe as others have speculated it's because the NX will replace the Wii U by then? Kinda hard to tell really.

Now if we heard that the next Pokemon was on the NX or that Zelda was going to launch on NX? Now that'd tell us something. Definitively. Dragon Quest? eh....



skywake commented on Humble Bundle Issues Official Statement About ...:

I've brought quite a few Humble Bundles and I would have definitely got this one if it wasn't region locked. It's a shame for sure but at the same time it's awesome that the bundles are now including consoles. Hopefully the next time they do this it can be global. If you have a NA Wii U and 3DS and haven't got it? What are you doing?



skywake commented on Talking Point: The Fragility of Buying Downloa...:

The difference with Onlive is that it was more of a subscription model. You were effectively renting time from a high powered gaming machine on a rack somewhere. Asking for your game back would be kinda like asking for your movies back if Netflix went down. Also from what I understood when you purchased a game on there you were basically buying the game from Steam. People didn't get "refunds" when the service shut down but they still had their Steam copy.

Anyways, I think we can be fairly confident that if any of these companies went bust they'd find a way to make the games still work. Either via a software patch/fix of some kind or by giving you a key for the game on another platform.



skywake commented on Talking Point: The Fragility of Buying Downloa...:

Don't get me wrong, I do think that there is room for them to screw us over. They could theoretically do all of the things people are worried about. They could pull all the games, burn all their fanbase and make all of your purchases invalid. I just don't see why they would. The costs are tiny for what is essentially the ability to keep games in-print indefinitely. Ontop of that it'd be a PR nightmare. If you think that they'll "shut it down" after a period? Well don't forget that selling 20+ year old games is what the VC service is.

There's also the fact that digital purchases aren't really tied to a specific platform. It's not "code on a disk", it's something more along the lines of the "rights to play this game". Even Nintendo is moving towards something more like that. When I got a new PC I took for granted the fact that I could still play Portal if I wanted. The PC I first played that game on is literally in parts but with just a click I could download it again on Windows, OSX or Linux. If Valve released a cloud based service or some sort of portable? Odds are I'd still be able to play Portal. It's just assumed that's how it'd work.

But if Nintendo were to release a portable Twilight Princess? Of course that'd be at full price again. Their digital shop would have no idea I got the game on the disk, stores will never trade it in for the portable release. There's no way it'd ever work. Physical releases are restrictive in that sense. It's not as simple as saying physical is better because of all the reasons. There are serious limitations to physical media.



skywake commented on Talking Point: The Fragility of Buying Downloa...:

Even when the "licences expired" for DKC the games were still available to re-download if you had purchased them. I don't know about the C64 titles but I assume it was the same story. Really, the costs involved in simply keeping the games available are trivially small. I see no reason why they'd want to shut down the servers especially given the bad PR it would generate. Hell, people freak out when a free demo is removed.....

I can still boot up the Wii Shop channel and download any of the titles I purchased on there. I can download titles on Steam that I got before the Wii launched. Yes Nintendo WFC has been taken down but I don't think they're at all equivalent. As you said yourself, they make money from keeping the shops open. Why would they shut them down?



skywake commented on Talking Point: The Fragility of Buying Downloa...:

I think the concern about servers shutting down is a tiny bit misguided. Realistically the cost of running a download server is trivially small compared to the number of users they serve. Especially if we take into account the rate storage is getting cheaper. In ten years time you should be able to store the entire catalogue of Wii U games... on a single $100 drive. With enough room to spare to also hold every Wii, Gamecube, DS and 3DS game.

So I wouldn't put my money on download servers going offline. The cost to simply keep them available is trivially small when compared to the extra revenue it can generate. Especially if you take into account the bad PR such a move would generate. Even in the examples cited where licences were revoked, those mostly impacted NEW downloads. People still freaked out.

What is concerning however is that games which really on a online mode? That can and will be taken away. Even if they keep the servers up a lot of those games are dead before then. You have to worry with a game like Splatoon for example whether it'd still be worth playing if that mode was taken away. And that's something that'll impact physical and digital purchases equally.



skywake commented on Weirdness: Nintendo of America's Splatoon Mess...:

Oh yay, North Americans complaining about game prices. Great. So here's a cool story, here in Australia game prices have always been ridiculous. In around 2006-ish when it was at it's worst I remember paying $90AU for Twilight Princess. It wasn't the cheapest price but it was hard to come by in the first few months after the Wii's launch. So that was the price I paid and it was around the usual sort of price. I remember Gameboy games easily getting upto $60AU in the mid 90s.

Looking up the prices now, Splatoon is going to be $60AU at some places. Most other Wii U titles can be found for around $70AU, some places are charging $80AU. Compare that not only to what we used to have to pay but also to other platforms. On the PS4 some games are pushing upto $110AU. So I don't understand Canadians complaining about games being $70CAD. I mean really. Just because you guys are used to games being $50.....



skywake commented on Poll: Would You Like Mario Kart 8 and Super Sm...:

The DLC is nice and I'd love to see it forever but I don't think that's a good strategy. The hype for Kart and Smash is still high, they're still the newest and biggest games. But it will slowly die down and I doubt that there'd be as much interest once we got to the 4th or 5th DLC packs.

So instead of that maybe the end of this year we get Splatoon DLC. Use it as a way to extend the life of that game. Maybe then some 3D World DLC along the lines of New Super Luigi U or Galaxy 2. Same with Starfox. Maybe after the next Zelda has been out for a bit they do a Majora's Mask on us but as DLC. Solid DLC for every prominent game instead of just milking one or two to death. I think that'd be the better strategy.



skywake commented on Talking Point: Splatoon Is a Typically Colourf...:

I think it's hilarious that people in this comments section are talking about it as if it'll do "only" as well as Kart and Smash. As if somehow that level of success is good but "won't move consoles". Umm, what? Super Mario Kart was the 4th best selling game on the SNES. Smash Bros was the 5th best selling N64 game. Outside of Mario those where the games to buy those systems for. It's like saying that it'll "only" be as important as Animal Crossing or Super Mario Galaxy.

I'm not entirely convinced it'll move systems. But if it's the Wii U equivalent of Kart, Smash, Animal Crossing or Galaxy? It will. Because there's nothing "only" about being the Wii U equivalent of what those games were for those systems.



skywake commented on Analyst Thinks Nintendo Is Already Winding Dow...:

So 2014 was smaller than 2013 and 2015 will be smaller still? well....

2013: 3D World, Pikmin, Wind Waker HD, New Super Luigi U
2014: Smash Bros, Kart, Bayonetta 2, DK:TF, Captain Toad
2015: StarFox, Kirby, Splatoon, X, Yoshi, Devil's Third

... does this guy even know how to internet?



skywake commented on Weirdness: Super Meat Boy Is Calling For Your ...:

The complaining about them not putting the game on a Nintendo platform is pathetic IMO. It would have had pride of place on WiiWare if it wasn't for Nintendo's restrictions on WiiWare titles. The only way it could have been a thing was if it was a retail title. How many games of that style have ever had success at retail? The idea of a Wii U port? Well sure, but the Wii U launched a good couple of years AFTER the hype. You can't blame them for that.

Super Meat Boy is an iconic indie game. It's probably THE iconic indie game alongside of Braid, Minecraft and Cave Story. Sure if it should be any indie game I'd go with Shovel Knight first because it's more recent and it's more obvious what his moveset would be. But Super Meat Boy? Why not? He fits Smash Bros more than most of the other ideas people are throwing around. Plus he's much more interesting idea than Bayonetta or Snake.



skywake commented on Nintendo’s Free-To-Play Experiment Pokémon ...:

I don't mind it, it's actually pretty fun and I hope they do more of this sort of thing both on mobile and portables. Though personally I haven't spent any money on jewels... nor have I for any mobile game... ever...



skywake commented on Poll: Where Do You Stand On DeNA, Smart Device...:

Half of the questions here assumed things that I don't think will be the case. Or made me answer in a way that I don't agree. I like the move to mobile but because it'll allow them to expand their audience not because of the revenue bit. At least that one's close! I like the new membership program but not because of DeNA, I like it because anything would have been better. And I think the NX is a portable but two of the four options talked about how it'll "damage" the Wii U.

So I'm going to mess up your poll here, sorry



skywake commented on Nintendo Share Prices Continue to Climb in Res...:

I posted this on the forums but for perspective the last time they were as high as they are now was when the Wii U was first announced. So it's not just a long time since their share price has been good, it's quite literally never been this high since the Wii U was first shown at E3 2011.



skywake commented on Reaction: The Nintendo 'NX', and Why We Think ...:

I'm fairly confident it's a portable. Just because they included both the 3DS and Wii U on that slide doesn't mean that they must be replacing either both or none. And just because their portable and non-portable divisions are working together doesn't mean the devices will literally merge.

Also think about this from a technical standpoint. If they were to create a "hybrid" it would have to be a portable. Now mobile hardware has improved a lot over the last few years but not quite that much. If it's out next year then assuming they don't want it to be like lava in your hands and they want decent battery? The thing will be somewhere between the Wii and 360 in terms of horsepower. Now I don't know about you but.... I won't be replacing my Wii U for such a device. I would probably retire my 3DS however.

The interesting thing about that level of power however is that it would be powerful enough to play Wii U -ish games. Which if their portable and non-portable guys were talking to each other? Could mean quick and easy porting. And cross-buy



skywake commented on Nintendo Working On New 'Dedicated Game Platfo...:

Two things Iwata confirmed near the end of the conference:
1. The Nintendo NX was hardware
2. "NX" = "Next Generation"

Given that it was announced alongside this mobile conference, that their portables are more in-line with mobile AND that the 3DS is an older platform? I'm just going to assume it's a 3DS successor until it's stated otherwise.