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Male, 26, Canada

Wed 10th February, 2010

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Ernest_The_Crab commented on Sony Hardware Takes Charge of Japanese Charts ...:

@Quorthon The thing is Apple's brand would not be a good comparison in terms of brand strength.

Apple's brand is so strong at the moment, it eclipses both the second and third place brand values (Microsoft and Google). To give you an idea of how strong that is, Sony and Nintendo both don't show up the top 100 highest valued brands. With Apple I wouldn't even bother using "fans" as the descriptor anymore, it would be closer to "fanatic." Frankly, their brand is so strong that I'm slightly afraid that if they entered the home console market NOW it'd probably spell the end of at least 2 of the big 3 (at least in that market).

That means out of the 3 existing competitors in the market only one of them has a brand that is remotely close to Apple's. I seriously doubt it's going to play as big of a factor as you make it out to be (it's still big just not enough I think to surpass the PS2's or the Wii's sales).

We also have to factor in that the current generation's consoles are capped at a certain sales growth pattern due to the fact that none of them would be considered a "radical" innovation in the gaming market. They are all incremental.

The PS2 had a number of different factors to compensate for it (more than the current generation). It had brand coming off of the PS1, it had the trust of the 3rd party developers (Nintendo screwed up horribly before), it wasn't space restricted (at the time) due to its format, and quite frankly it didn't have any real competitors in that generation when it first came out (and really no real competition after as well due to it being Microsoft's first foray into the market). This includes the Sony marketing campaign that ultimately ended Sega's run in the console market. Also, the Japanese market at the time wasn't dead console market-wise.

It makes me wonder what the Wii's sales would have been if they actually had better marketing, as it would have been classified as a radical innovation at the time of its release.

Anyways, there seems to be too many factors involved that would skew the end results. I'm not going to make that assumption with such shaky ground to stand on.

EDIT: Some grammatical errors were bugging me



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Sony Hardware Takes Charge of Japanese Charts ...:

@Yorumi I'm not making that assumption as the data itself seems like it's skewed. All of the hijinxes during the launch e3 and the respective marketing blitzes from both Sony and Microsoft to steal market share from each other makes me suspect that this generation will be extremely front heavy, more so than previous generations. I believe there will be a very noticeable decrease in sales either this year or early next year.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Sony Hardware Takes Charge of Japanese Charts ...:

That's providing the sales numbers stay like that. This seems a little early to call it either way yet. Also, another problem that needs to be factored in is essentially the death of the Japanese console market. That market was still relevant back during the ps2 era. That will definitely hurt the numbers.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Sony Hardware Takes Charge of Japanese Charts ...:

@Quorthon I feel this generation will sell less hardware overall than the previous generation. The market share is now smaller without the many casual gamers in the last generation. Software numbers will most likely be higher though as most of the console gamers this time around will be dedicated gamers.

It really doesn't look good on the console makers if the market gets smaller as it simply means any sales this time around were mostly made from taking them from another competitor. At the end of the day this isn't sustainable so hopefully someone actually does something to expand the market again.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Animal Crossing Announcement Community Launche...:

I can see this working pretty well actually. One of the annoyances I had with New Leaf was placement of objects and Town Hall projects. They might do a huge revamp of the customisation aspect of the game since the Gamepad could potentially make things a lot more user friendly.

They could also expand the multiplayer aspect, especially on the local multiplayer as the console allows for multiple inputs.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Hundreds of Limited Edition Majora's Mask New ...:

At the same time they wouldn't be limited edition now would they? The whole point is to generate a demand so the systems don't simply sit on a store shelf unsold. If there is plenty of stock chances are the sales would be lower than if there wasn't enough stock, as people would just wait for sales or feel there's no urgency and not buy it at all.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on A New Fire Emblem Game Is Marching Towards The...:

@Quorthon Fusion was mixed for me. I certainly wasn't a fan of the sexism (same with Other M) but I did like the direction they went in for making her part Metroid. It would be interesting to see the repercussions of becoming a hybrid for Samus.

@Sonicman They mentioned in the trailer that they were bringing in a famous comic book writer (manga) to write the story so maybe they had some influence on the character design as well.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Video: Top Super Smash Bros. for Wii U Players...:

A tournament at Jump Fiesta? Chances are it'll be like a tournament at Anime North for Smash; open to the public and no professional players (then again my little brother did mention a professional Canadian Starcraft II player showed up for an Anime North tournament the last time he went).



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Nintendo Titles Struggle to Make an Impact in ...:

@RainbowGazelle Nintendo has some pretty rabid shareholders and their overall size (compared to their competitors) doesn't help. The others can subsidize any losses they have with other divisions/product lines. If Iwata did not cut expenses, chances are that he could have been replaced with someone that ONLY cared about the business side of the industry. That could very well end up as a slippery slope to the complete disappearance of Nintendo.

@Quorthon Not all conspiracy theories are wrong, here are some examples:

It would not be a wise idea to write off something until it is proven false. Not to say that this particular conspiracy claim isn't ridiculous but it does have some possible merit to it when people are clamouring for the company to go completely 3rd party.

The marketing is problematic, but then again Nintendo doesn't have the bankroll to put out absurd marketing campaigns like their competitors. Super Bowl ads aren't exactly cheap.

It's not that they are more awful than they were in the past. It's actually the other way around, their competitors are much better at doing it than they are and have much bigger budgets. For example, Microsoft pretty much destroyed the Xbox One's image when they first showed and talked about it. Now how are they doing? After a marketing blitz and a quite substantial price cut they seem to be selling extremely well. Neither one of those are options for a company that is as small (comparatively) as Nintendo and whom is also in deep trouble with their shareholders (read the shareholder meeting minutes, it gives you a very good idea what their investors are like).

Before anyone mentions the Wii...successful blue oceans generally market themselves in the majority of cases. Word of mouth is the strongest factor in those extremely rare cases.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Nintendo Dismisses Rumours That The GameCube C...:

@FragRed It is difficult to manufacture something like this. Nintendo outsources their hardware production to another company (just like everyone else in this industry). Unfortunately, this company (Foxconn) has A LOT of power since Nintendo isn't the only one they deal with. Some much bigger companies include Apple, Microsoft and Sony.

It means if Foxconn doesn't feel like shifting production quickly for a product, they don't have to. Even after all of the suicide reports coming out about the company, the MOST Apple could do about it was get them to set up safety nets, and they were arguably the most powerful hardware company out of the group (due to iPhones, iPads and iPods, etc).

It seems that not many people realize that Nintendo isn't the one pulling the strings when it comes to hardware and are often quite quick to blame Nintendo for the production problems.

Before anyone asks why not switch suppliers, Foxconn is by far the cheapest option for the high production capabilities they provide. Until something changes, most of these companies will be sticking with them.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Nintendo Reveals New Wii U Footage and Details...:

@rjejr I'd say the issue is really market confusion at this point. They didn't attempt to point out the differences between the Wii U and the Wii at the start of its life and as such many potential buyers were misinformed that the tablet controller was an add-on rather than it being part of the new console. These customers probably skipped over it afterwards and never looked back.

No marketing is almost as bad as bad marketing (ie Microsoft's first reveals and discussions about the Xbox One, which they had to do A LOT to fix).



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Nintendo Might Not Be Making More GameCube Con...:

@Tasuki Nintendo does not do manufacturing. They outsource their manufacturing process for hardware just like their competitors. Considering how powerful Foxconn is (they make most of the more popular hardware devices out there including Apple devices) they have ALOT of power as a supplier. I wouldn't be surprised if they don't feel like adjusting their processes quickly for mass production of the adapter for one company, especially one as small as Nintendo (compared to the other customers of Foxconn.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Review: Super Smash Bros. for Wii U (Wii U):

Not surprised. Both Smash Bros Wii U and Melee have scored lower than Brawl. Funny thing is, the lack of an "adventure mode" has not been enough for the Wii U version of the game to be off by more than 1% point from Brawl.

Also, the original Smash Bros has a score of 79 in case anyone wants to make the argument that it is impossible for a Smash Bros game to score below an 80.

I wouldn't be surprised if we get an actual adventure mode. Though chances are if we do it'll probably be a DLC.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Talking Point: Super Smash Bros. Can Finally R...:

@rjejr See that's up to the developer in this case though. EAD is an internal dev team and were in charge of Mario Kart 8.

Sakurai is a contractor and frankly Namco is 3rd party. Considering the ill will between Iwata and Sakurai caused by the surprise Smash Bros announcement during E3 and considering that Sakurai is a pretty famous game designer, I'm pretty sure Nintendo is being very careful not to aggravate him.

Sakurai is most likely not the one whom would be losing out if the contract isn't renewed. Considering how Nintendo's competitors haven't really been able to do a cross over game with the same recognition level or following as Smash Bros, chances are he would be swiftly picked up for his Smash Bros. work alone.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Talking Point: Super Smash Bros. Can Finally R...:

@rjejr I'm not sure why you'd need to "hope" they aren't charging for those things. Pretty sure all of those aspects are just delayed. Considering how heavy of an emphasis they want to put on tournament play this time around (and the fact they are hosting tournaments themselves) that mode will most likely be free, well unless Sakurai wants to not follow the precedent Nintendo has set for that kind of thing in Mario Kart 8. Same thing with sharing.

The stage on the other hand is most likely going to be free as Sakurai showed it before talking about paid DLC AND didn't mention anything about restricted distribution like he did with Mewtwo. That doesn't mean that it might not end up being paid DLC but chances are very low with the given evidence so far.

@dumedum That would be more of an issue if it was Amazon as a whole. Nintendo doesn't have any problems with Amazon outside of the American branch of the company. The last time I checked, the Americans aren't as big about buying online as their UK compatriots.

Sure it would translate to some sales lost, but it would be doubtful that it would amount to "millions of sales" unless you mean in terms of pure revenues and not actual units sold.

Also, the dispute had something to do with the 3DS when it first came out. The portable wasn't originally doing well and Amazon wanted a bulk discount comparable to Walmart's when buying 3DSs from Nintendo. When Nintendo refused (kind of understandable when you're already in a bad spot with your investors), Amazon sent back huge amounts of 3DSs back for "screen scratching" problems. Apparently, these were warehouse stored 3DSs so it appeared rather suspicious and hence Nintendo got real annoyed at them. To give you more context with this, Amazon seems to have the occasional problem with keeping Sony and Microsoft consoles in an undamaged state while in their warehouses as well.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Masahiro Sakurai Explains Why Mewtwo Isn't Pai...:

@Dipper723 There's a twitter message from Nintendo UK that seems to suggest that he'll be purchasable separately.

There is a promotional period for getting him for "free" if you have both versions of the game (if you were going to buy both games anyways).

Ignore my first comment, I'm confusing myself with something a buddy was talking about. He told me that Nintendo would be giving out Mewtwo codes early to double dippers in November for some kind of beta test.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Feature: The Wii U is Two Years Old, But How's...:

@Quorthon However, anyone can tell you that both the Gamecube and the N64 fell off steeply in support. They both started with higher numbers and hence were front loaded.

To say that Nintendo needs to get out of the home console market due to ONE console doing poorly (and frankly not in a row) is pretty asinine as well (that's not saying that the A ratings are not asinine). They have had bigger failures than the Wii U. One only needs to reach back to their first 3D console attempt (Virtual Boy) to realize that they came back stronger after it. Interestingly enough this seems to be a pattern for all of the console makers in the industry since its birth.

I'll wait until I see what they have in store for their next console before I decide to make a judgement, rather than making an uneducated early prediction on the overall company.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Sony: PS Vita Is Better Than 3DS And The Wii B...:

@Takerkaneanite6 That's some pretty expensive shovelware when you think about it. The potentially higher dev costs may make it not very cost effective to put out shovelware compared to the Wii. Not to say it won't get shovelware, but chances are it'll be less percentage-wise.

@unrandomsam Really? I'm actually surprised. I thought with the hardware they have in place for the PS4 there shouldn't be any issues at all running at 60fps.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Genyo Takeda Discusses Nintendo's Hardware Future:

@rjejr It's certainly possible since Sony made that mistake as well going from the PS2 to PS3 transition and Microsoft did the same this generation.

The biggest problem, as I mentioned before, is that they don't know whom their target market is. They've been flipping back and forth for this generation so far. You can hardly market the HARDWARE without knowing whom the hardware is for.

It's the biggest problem with a blue ocean strategy. Many companies that have had a hit with blue ocean generally cannot pull it off more than once (and a successful application of this strategy is also pretty rare). Blue ocean revolves around the whole premise that you curve out a section of the market that is either under-served or does not exist. After they pulled off a successful application with the Wii what happened? Their competitors started to butt into that area as well. It was no longer a "blue" ocean. Also, it didn't help that tablets pushed into that territory as well.

They fell into the trap, that is a blue ocean is no longer a blue ocean the second time around. That was their biggest mistake. They figured they could do a second blue ocean with the Wii U without realizing that the same market conditions no longer existed (happens a lot with blue ocean strategies, seems to be the norm).

Do you happen to know how much bigger Sony and Microsoft are than Nintendo? They have HUGE economies of scope (product lines can be used to fund/produce other product lines). This saved money can be used on massive marketing campaigns. This isn't even going into the royalties both of them get from setting industry standards.

Nintendo has effectively two product lines, portables and home consoles. They incur huge R&D costs and don't have any royalties on the same level as their competitors nor comparable production capability. Frankly, it's a miracle that they are still in business (I guess "leave luck to heaven" has another meaning here) considering the size of their competitors.

Are you REALLY expecting a marketing campaign on the same level as Sony and Microsoft? Nintendo most likely have to pick and choose which games get advertising and also how much advertising.

Also, a quick note, Apple can pull it off more than once but only because of one factor. Their brand. A quick search of the widest known brands will come up with Apple as king of brands (though Google isn't too far off). However, only time will tell if they manage to stay strong. After all, after Jobs originally parted ways with the company, at least two different CEOs came into power and both of them failed to pull Apple out of the bog they were stuck in. It wasn't until Jobs came back that Apple started coming back into power. Let's face it, it was Jobs that made Apple, so to speak, and it won't be for a least a couple of years after his death before we see what that really means for the that went longer than I thought it would.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Genyo Takeda Discusses Nintendo's Hardware Future:

@rjejr You don't seem to understand that there's more than one way to market. The Wii is quite literally a textbook example of a successful blue ocean strategy, so much so that it is referred as such in a number of reputable business articles such as the Harvard Business Review (which is used in many universities for case studies).

Having NO idea of marketing would result in a complete failure of a blue ocean strategy as it's pretty much a requirement to curve out a niche in a new market. Someone had to figure out to package Wii Sports with the Wii not to mention Japan DID NOT have the game packaged with the console.

Also, I ONLY mentioned the Wii as it was the most recent example. I could reach back all the way to the NES and SNES days when they had a considerable and bitter rivalry with SEGA. If they didn't have marketing back then, you really think they would be in business now especially when SEGA was out to destroy them back then with their ads?



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Genyo Takeda Discusses Nintendo's Hardware Future:

@rjejr Well I don't think they don't know how to sell a console. The Wii kind of destroys that argument. The problem is more likely that they don't know who their target market is with the Wii U. They knew who the target market was with the Wii.

If we're talking about one console/portable hybrid I suspect it would have a "cradle-like" console design that has more powerful hardware on it but cannot run without another component which would form the base for the portable portion of the system (which would be able to run on its own).

So sort of like the portable system would be the n64 and the rest of the "cradle" hardware would be the expansion pack (I would that makes sense).



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Mario Kart 8 Software Update Will Unlock amiib...:

@Tsurii897 That's probably due to them wanting to keep the Amiibos as optional items. We'd probably see a lot more raging right now if they were required to get additional game content.

@BensonUii That might work with a Nintendo Land sequel if they do one.

@ rjejr It sounds like Amiibos have more storage space for games that they were created to support and a more limited space for other games as stated by @SanderEvers.

@unrandomsam I don't see anything wrong with them doing both. Then again, Mario Kart is probably not taken seriously enough (at least not on Smash Bros level) to warrant balance patches. Also, I thought you hated Mario Kart 8, so I'm not sure why you care in this case, especially in regards to balancing.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on Region-Locking May Be a Thing of the Past Soon...:

I can almost bet that the gain in sales from removing the lock would be negligible at best. The number of people that would bother jumping through the hoops required based on cost or a language barrier (or know about a foreign release) would be pretty low. It's just the people that want to import are just louder.

Not to say it wouldn't benefit a few customers but I doubt it would do anything for the majority. Seems like a pretty minimal gain vs a minimal loss, and as any good accountant would tell you that's pretty easy to manipulate in either direction at that point. I can bet people will also get pretty pissed about getting screwed on exchange (those that don't import). That could result in a public relations nightmare (which Steam should be noticing about now due to regional currency changes).

As we can see there's a good way and a bad way of doing it. Hopefully it's not a poor implementation if they do remove it at some point.



Ernest_The_Crab commented on You Can Now Purchase Select Digital Titles on ...:

@unrandomsam What premium? I went to and they had Mario Kart 8 and Super Mario 3D World at pretty much their retail prices (about $60 and missing Hyrule Warriors completely). Unless of course Nintendo of Europe is screwing you guys on exchange rate, then you guys have my condolences.

Is anyone having issues trying to purchase right now? I got an error message from the fat man himself that they couldn't retrieve some kind of "code."

@Olmectron I think they email it to you in case you don't want to install the game immediately (or if you want to gift it). I went to the checkout with Hyrule Warriors (I was signed in), a game that's already released (in case preordering makes a difference). They have a short blurb that mentions that you can send the game to your console for automatic download or enter the code manually for later. I noticed that out of the 3 steps they have listed there these options are listed as Step 2 after Step 1, which is purchasing. I'm guessing they ask for a confirmation after you buy (like Steam does with its "is this a gift or for yourself" message, though Steam asks before you purchase).

EDIT: Nevermind, I think it might be an issue related to a Canadian trying to purchase from the American site as I could log in and reach the purchase details through the Canadian site, whoops indeed.